The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) threw a curveball 🚀 at the markets by keeping interest rates steady at 3.85% instead of slicing them down to 3.60%. So, how did our watchlist setups perform for this blockbuster news? 🤔

Watchlists are our spicy takes on price outlook & strategy, powered by both fundamental & technical analysis, which is super crucial for whipping up a top-tier buy-the-dip trade idea before you dive into a risk & trade management plan. 📈🔥

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The Vibes 🎧

• What Had Our Attention: RBA Monetary Policy Statement (July 2025)
• Expectation: Slice that interest rate from 3.85% to 3.60% like a pizza 🍕
• Actual TM: Rates were chillin' at 3.85% while RBA Gov. Bullock talked about that “chill, take-it-slow” stance on cuttin’ rates
• Market Vibe Check: Neutral to riding high 🌈 Traders straight-up ignoring tariff drama and diving right into that cautious wave of risk-taking 🚀

The Reaction 🌀

The RBA’s no-chill decision to keep rates at 3.85% left everyone shook given all the chatter about a 0.25% drop. Made with a wild 6-3 vote — a peek into their debate tea for the first time, fam! 😯

Highlights from the RBA's drop:

• Monthly CPI came in a lil' stronger than expected. 📊
• RBA Board wanna vibe check inflation for that 2.5% groove.
• Cus of the nervy global trade policies and domestic demand jigs. 🚚🌏

RBA Chief Bullock chatted about potential cuts soon, pending their inflation receipts. Since rates are already dropped 50 points over the past five months, they're chillin' till more gossip, uh, data drops. 😂

Major Vibe Alert: Bullish AUD Setups 🚀

Market Outlook & Outside Feels:

The market was playing hopscotch between chill and I-got-this vibes all week long. With traders side-eyeing tariff deadlines like pros! 💼🙄

The week blasted off with a wave of cautious moods when Trump dropped a 10% tariff bomb on BRICS nations, and dropped a 25% heat ✈️ on Japan & SK by August 1. That moved all the gold & dollar pawns in the game of risk assets.

But then, like a brief commercial break, risk vibes perked up ahead of the RBA call. Trump teasing “Deadline = Negotiable” had traders cautiously flexing some optimism. 🔎

The FOMC min exploded midweek serving up spicy discord over cut plans. Shelled some greenback & Treasury yields while hyping up those equity & crypto coins. 🍾💸 (BTC above $116k? TFW!)

Chaos in energy as crude spiked 'cause of sea battles & OPEC vibes, before someone whispered "China ain't buying," and it slumped. Amid all this clamor, the Aussie dollar turned the tables post-RBA chill, as Fed bosses mused on tariffs baton twirling inflation, keeping risks boldly shining until Canada's tariff party crasher on Friday! 🎊

Showdown Scorecard: Did They Ace It? 🏆

AUD/CHF: Amped AF on AUD Event outcome + Risk-On Feels 🌊 = High-key solid shot at pure WIN

AUD/CHF 1-hour Forex Chart by TradingView

Our squad was thinking AUD/CHF might level up at the channel bottom if the RBA pulled a fast one and didn’t slash by 0.25%. 🌊Our crystal ball glance was banking on a rush of good vibes from smoother global trade sits and chillaxed vibes from the SNB. 🧘‍♂️

Even before the main event, the pair hinted at an upswing, buoyed by the U.S.’s breathe-easy deal delay.🎉The news itself sparked a bold rise in Aussie fortunes, propelling the pair beyond its comfy channel zone.

AUD/CHF hung out near the top of its journey after more cautious vibes when the magic word — "tariff extended to August 1st" — passed around. The game held onto its secrets, urging some traders to lock in those sweet gains.

Next round, FOMC whispered July cut fanfare sunk U.S. 10-year yields and the big ol' dollar, giving Swiss francs a glow-up moment. This pulled AUD/CHF back to where it all began near the S1 zone.

Despite all, the pair latched onto a breakout game later, vibing off dovish Fed chatter sparking a strong escape, as traders got comfy with owning equities and dreaming of trade deal overtures.😎

Stick to the Watchlist – Bearish vibes for AUD moments + GBP/AUD short genius 🚪

GBP/AUD: Bullish AUD Event + Low-Key Risk Switch ⚡ 

GBP/AUD 4-hour Forex Chart by TradingView

Despite GBP/AUD’s mood set for a major bearish drop, the chill upfront wasn’t exactly the drama-filled theater we predicted. Markets were chilling, most hoping for a “TACO scam” or trade talks leveling up past the deadline pause.

Yet, GBP/AUD could have channeled that RBA surprise to beat down from the drama zone near R1 and the hefty 2.1000 major psych lock-in. 🚫

It kept the slide juice flowing post pivot-ins, paused a bit, then glided lower to range support at S1, continuing the down-low vibe. 🌊

Love for European currency fizzled while U.S.-EU drama seemed untangled, the U.S. sent more tariff “you better watch out” notes. Risk was bubbling anew, and traders ditched drama, saying hellooo, edu-motivated plays like Oz’s. By end-note, lower UK GDP sent GBP/AUD to swim in fresh lows, mere hours from the finale! 🎭

AUD/NZD Short: Bearish AUD play + Chill vibes Warning 🌥️

AUD/NZD 1-hour Forex Chart by TradingView

AUD/NZD slipped to the Pivot before the RBA tea spilled, more like broad vibes jitters from the tariff rollercoaster, amplified by the U.S.'s copper vibes drop. 🔥

Post-RBA juiciness, AUD/NZD flexed northward, leaping from about 1.0825 to above 1.0870. Marks a clear diff from the kiwi’s chill amid this week's mumble turnover.

The Aussie flaunted more on risk vibes pickup than its distant cousin NZD. High hopes for trade jawns, fresh buzzard Fed rate drop colors, and broader USD shakes gave it pop. 🎨

AUD/JPY Long: Bearish AUD Event outcome + High-Key Risk Chill Wave 🌊

AUD/JPY 1-hour Forex Chart by TradingView

Our fresh talks on AUD/JPY went poof with RBA's surprisey bits, but for those who pivoted with the story could have seen lit outcomes. 🔄

Unlike our plotted challenge, AUD/JPY didn’t flirt closer to channel support ahead. Rather, it wasn’t vibing towards a dip, turned higher pre-event as Yen tripped off U.S.’s 25% tariff drop on Japanese jawnz.

The anti-yen echoes rolled into Tuesday and ramped AUD/JPY into a post-RBA delight. It smashed past previous July peaks, hovered briefly around Wed as FOMC flavors and Yen gathered free vibes. 📈

By the weekend, AUD/JPY was riding high, zooming through R2 Pivot Points while traders probably leaned hard on the RBA jawn, smart play on BOJ’s slim chance rates post-Friday's JPN PPI weak sauce. 🎭

Judgment Day: Verdict Options 🎓

Fundamental hype plus watch party scenario pointed to risk appetite 📈 gaining high-key on AUD/CHF’s upward wave.

Tech checks nailed the line where wild action resided below, providing long entries before the buzz, and keeping post-sentiment either neck high at S1 or straight vibes back post-event pivot.

Sweet thanks to padded risk flavors post-FOMC comms and latter end Fed banter over the week, AUD/CHF shot up past ceiling norms and dived at R1 to R2. 🎯

Calling it like it is: bullish odds played fair, given AUD found risk-on highlights pre-event and held firm pre-Thursday pop. 💪

Fundamental sniff and technique vibes collaborated well: slipped tariff pause shined risk savors, RBA/SNB choices made the hold significant, Fed’s sweet chat led to another climber of hope. 📈

Trade setup and exit could’ve played minor chords, taking short dives during the RBA breakout talk and tariff drops could’ve dropped dope opportunities for max reward/risk detach, otherwise breakout points. 🌟

Key Takeaways: ✍️

The Spectacle of Outside Forces 🌐

Troubles? Tariffs governed the drama, swirling moods and vibes in a game-changer on the AUD sprint track.

With “yet another” truth-bomb-trading headline (cue Trump’s channel), anything goes, reaffirming that being quick-footed setting scene for packed open position management-scenes. Especially seeing the tea party sparked fully by the RBA’s drops early in the highlight reel, before myriad events rock the stage. 🎭

Fine-tuning Entry and Risk Dances ⚖️

Though the calls pegged winning streaks for entry fantasies to entry dreamland, thru-events unleashed the inertia of early market brushes snapping levels fast, allowing action.

Switching entry zones balancing in step with price rawness should sync with enhancements either stopping-free stops or sizing engagements securing fine risk focus 🚀 while tipping targets the necessary audacity. No lies maintaining bullish AUD amidst dips, spiraling its fixture past given Fed spark ups past mini-resolve spots.

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