Cool CPI, Hawkish Warsh: Inside a Two-Stage Trading Day
June CPI cooled to 3.5%, sinking the dollar in minutes. Then Fed Chair Warsh spoke and clawed part of it back. Here’s how two-stage events work.
Read MoreJune CPI cooled to 3.5%, sinking the dollar in minutes. Then Fed Chair Warsh spoke and clawed part of it back. Here’s how two-stage events work.
Read MoreA soft June CPI report sent the dollar lower and sharply reduced expectations for a July Federal Reserve rate hike.
Read MoreA soft June CPI print knocked the dollar to the bottom of the majors as traders unwound July rate-hike bets, while oil, stocks, gold, and Bitcoin all climbed.
Read MoreLooks like the BOC is set to hold rates again, but Macklem’s tone could decide whether CAD rallies or reverses this week.
Read MoreThe RBNZ surprised markets with a July hike to 2.50%. Explore the fundamental case behind the New Zealand dollar and build your own bias.
Read MoreThe U.S.-Iran conflict and Trump’s 20% Hormuz shipping fee sent oil surging nearly 9% Monday, pressuring stocks and gold while the dollar firmed on revived Fed rate-hike bets.
Read MorePresident Trump declared the U.S. the Strait of Hormuz’s “guardian” and demanded a 20% reimbursement fee on all cargo. Oil jumped 5%, stocks fell 1%, and the June ceasefire is officially dead.
Read MoreThe ceasefire is over, the mediator just got hit, and a cargo ship is disabled in the strait. Here’s what a war premium looks like when it finally has to stick.
Read MoreFalling gasoline prices may soften headline CPI, but sticky core inflation and Warsh’s testimony could quickly revive dollar demand Tuesday.
Read MoreThe dollar round-tripped to flat as Iran headlines whipsawed oil, hawkish Fed minutes stirred rate bets, and a surprise RBNZ hike crowned the Kiwi this week.
Read MoreChip stocks drove a Thursday rally even as the US and Iran traded airstrikes. Here’s why AI investment news can outweigh geopolitical risk in markets.
Read MoreChipmakers powered a Wall Street rebound Thursday as Micron lifted U.S. spending plans, with the dollar easing, gold and Bitcoin higher, and oil sliding despite renewed U.S.-Iran strikes.
Read MoreHawkish central bank signals hit markets, but traders rewarded the Kiwi and sold the dollar anyway. What’s up with that?!
Read MoreWith no NFP noise to drown out the impact of Canada’s jobs report this week, this top-tier release could trigger a bigger market reaction than usual. Here’s what to look out for.
Read MoreThe minutes of the Fed’s June meeting revealed division over whether inflation will cool as the Middle East conflict eases or stay elevated as AI-related investment keeps pressure on prices.
Read MoreTrump called the U.S.-Iran ceasefire “over” after fresh strikes, sending oil higher and risk assets lower. Fed minutes lifted hike bets and yields, but the dollar still slipped.
Read MoreTrump declared the US-Iran ceasefire over after Iran struck ships in the Strait of Hormuz, sending oil prices surging 6% and rattling markets.
Read MoreThe RBNZ raised its Official Cash Rate to 2.50%, its first hike in three years, but won’t commit to a timeline for what comes next.
Read MoreThe June Fed minutes could test whether markets are right to price hawkish risks, or whether Warsh’s silence muddies the dollar setup.
Read MoreTanker attacks near a key shipping route and a fresh OPEC+ supply increase are pulling oil prices in opposite directions this week.
Read MoreNothing can stop the man with the right mental attitude from achieving his goal; nothing on earth can help the man with the wrong mental attitude.Thomas Jefferson