This article has been translated from English to Gen Z Slang.
Ya boi the markets were chillin' on Monday since the U.S. was catching feels for Presidents’ Day and China was all about that Lunar New Year vibe. Trading was thin like my patience, so nothing wild really happened across asset classes, even with everyone low-key stressing about AI shaking up those equity markets. 🤖💸
Peep the forex deets and economic glow-ups you might have missed from yesterday’s trading sesh!
Forex News Headlines & Data:
- Last Saturday, the European Central Bank was like, “Let’s flex and make that euro liquidity backstop super accessible worldwide, for like, forever!”
- New Zealand Services PSI for January 2026: 50.9 (51.9 was the vibe; 51.5 was history)
- New Zealand Electronic Retail Card Spending for January 2026: 0.4% y/y (-0.4% y/y was the prediction; -1.0% y/y was the throwback)
-
Japan GDP Growth Rate Prel for December 31, 2025: 0.1% q/q (0.5% was the goal; -0.6% q/q was the past); 0.2% y/y (2.0% y/y was the dream; -2.3% y/y was the status quo)
- Japan GDP Price Index Prel for December 31, 2025: 3.4% y/y (3.5% y/y was the target; 3.4% y/y was the reality)
- Japan Industrial Production Final for December 2025: -0.1% m/m (-0.1% m/m was expected; -2.7% m/m was so last season); 2.6% y/y (2.6% y/y forecast; -2.2% y/y was old news)
- Euro area Industrial Production for December 2025: -1.4% m/m (-1.2% m/m was like “close enough”; 0.7% m/m was back in the day); 1.2% y/y (1.5% y/y forecast; 2.5% back when dinosaurs roamed)
- Canada Housing Starts for January 2026: 238.0k (275.0k was the hope; 282.4k was yesterday’s jam)
- Canada Manufacturing Sales Final for December 2025: 0.6% m/m (0.5% m/m was the crystal ball’s prediction; -1.2% was the pre-drama)
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Broad Market Price Action:

Dollar Index, Gold, S&P 500, Oil, U.S. 10-yr Yield, Bitcoin Overlay – Chart Faster With TradingView
Monday’s trading vibes were meh, typical for a chill holiday week. With less action and no big U.S. economic buzz, the volatility was on snooze mode despite AI chaos tweaking the equity markets lately. 🤯📉
WTI crude oil was like the MVP, soaring 1.73% to vibe at $63.60 a barrel. The oil had a steady glow-up during Asian and Euro hours and popped off during U.S. time, possibly due to some US-Iran drama and geopolitical tea. With Monday being a snoozer and no specific oil gossip, the moves were like peeps tweaking their positions and some technical buys. 🚀🛢️
The S&P 500 was on chill mode too, barely moving up by 0.07% to wrap close to 6,835. It opened at 6,830 during Asian hours, keeping mostly in its lane all day, maybe feeling a little okay that the AI melodrama settled down a bit from last week's drama fest.
📈Treasury yields nudged up by 0.05%, with the 10-year wrapping around 4.041%. Yields gave major side-eye most of the session, chillin’ near the low levels seen on Friday. This lil’ uptick was probs more about peeps adjusting their moves technically rather than any headline moment since bond markets were out cold for the holiday.
Gold slipped 1.01% to settle around $4,992 an ounce, losing its crown just under that critical $5k level. The shiny stuff got lighter all day, possibly because the big players were like, “Let’s cash in” and the need for safety took a seat as stocks found their chill.
Bitcoin took a 0.53% dip, trading near $68,491. This crypto star was all over the place throughout the session, marking its fourth weekly L. Bitcoin was caught in a low-key identity crisis as its weekend rally vanished like Snap filters, with AI drama probs making peeps sketchy about dabbling in risky investments. 🤯💔
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FX Market Behavior: U.S. Dollar vs. Majors

Overlay of USD vs. Majors – Chart Faster With TradingView
The U.S. dollar was showing off its best bullish tendencies during Monday’s holiday-shortened shenanigans, flexin’ gains against most of the major players thanks to that thin crowd out there amplifying even the chillest of directional moves. 💪💵
During the Asian session, the dollar was vibing, mostly sideways but with a hint of confidence, like, “Yeah, I’ve got this.” The moves were confusing AF across currency pairs, with Japan's meh GDP data (at 0.1% q/q growth vs. 0.5% dreamed about) maybe backin’ up the dollar against the yen. USD/JPY was like, “I’m boss,” gaining 0.58%, the fanciest winner among its friends. Kiwi data was the mixed bag of gummy bears, with no surprise retail sadness weighing it down. USD/NZD barely budged, chillin’ at a stable 0.10%. 🤷♀️
The London session kept dollar sparkle going without any significant hype. Eurozone industrial vibes were deflated, down by 1.4% m/m vs. the 1.2% we were betting on. But the dollar was chill, more about flaunting those technical layers than shade from Europe. The sterling showed some sass, with USD/GBP rising only 0.18% as the pound held its story together snug for Tuesday’s UK job scoop. The Swiss franc was a sad face emoji, with USD/CHF lifting by 0.21% even after Switzerland’s GDP was like, “Yeah, we met our 0.2% q/q expectations. Woo?”
The US session had the dollar cruising on its choppy way but overall vibing towards bullishness pretty much all day despite Uncle Sam’s festive spirit sidetracking peeps. Canada’s housing starts came through like a rainy day at 238k vs. 275k vibes, likely giving USD/CAD that little nudge up 0.14%. The euro was a struggle bus, with USD/EUR up 0.13%, reflecting earlier euro gloom and the ECB flex about goin' global with that euro liquidity. Surprise, surprise, the Aussie dollar was the lone wolf scratching a win against the USD, with USD/AUD barely down by 0.01%, probs more about technical antics than major deets. 🏠🌧️
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Upcoming Potential Catalysts on the Economic Calendar
- New Zealand Food Price Index for January 2026 at 9:45 pm GMT
- Australia RBA Meeting Minutes at 12:30 am GMT
- Japan Tertiary Industry Activity Index for December 2025 at 4:30 am GMT
- Germany Inflation Rate Final for January 2026 at 7:00 am GMT
- U.K. Employment Situation Update for December 2025 at 7:00 am GMT
- Euro area ZEW Economic Sentiment Index for February 2026 at 10:00 am GMT
- New Zealand Global Dairy Trade Price Index for February 17, 2026
- U.S. ADP Employment Change Weekly for January 31, 2026 at 1:15 pm GMT
- Canada Wholesale Sales Final for December 2025 at 1:30 pm GMT
- Canada CPI Growth Rate for January 2026 at 1:30 pm GMT
- U.S. NY Empire State Manufacturing Index for February 2026 at 1:30 pm GMT
- U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index for February 2026 at 3:00 pm GMT
- U.S. Fed Barr Speech at 5:45 pm GMT
- U.S. Fed Daly Speech at 7:30 pm GMT
Tuesday’s lineup is lit with high-key potential for some serious market vibes as the squad gets back to the grind post-US holiday feels. The UK employment situation update kicks off at 7:00 am GMT and might just shake the sterling, especially after recent low-key inflation data got everyone thinking the Bank of England might drop those interest rates. Meanwhile, Germany’s final January inflation level will spill the tea on those eurozone price pressures following the ECB’s big weekend announcement of more euro liquidity goodies worldwide. 💼📊
As we slide into the North American section of the show, Canada’s January CPI report, landing at 1:30 pm GMT, is totally set to be the hot topic. With the Bank of Canada having thrown shade with multiple rate cuts, folks will be scoping inflation trends like Sherlock Holmes in a meme. Meanwhile, US ADP employment insights and the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index will drop early clues about labor haps and regional economic vibes ahead of the headliner nonfarm payrolls this Friday. 📈🇨🇦
Fed official buzz at 5:45 pm GMT with Barr speaking, and again with Daly at 7:30 pm GMT, will have folks eavesdropping for any hints about where we’re headed given last Friday's cool inflation beats. With buzzy chit-chat already betting on those summer rate cuts, any dovish sounds could light a fire and have DXY on a tightrope even with Monday’s sturdiness. 📊🔍
Keep it icy, forex fam! ❄️💸
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