Analysis

After USD/JPY tested the yen-tervention line in the sand above 160.00 last week, the Japanese government quickly stepped in to drag it back down. 

With Australia’s inflation at a three-year high, will the RBA hike again — or blink in the face of recession risk?

Japan’s $35B intervention erased the FOMC-driven dollar rally last week. This week, NFP, the RBA’s live hike decision, and Hormuz escalation risk define every major trade.

The FOMC’s most divided vote in thirty years, WTI breaking $100, and a confirmed $35B Japanese intervention combined to test every scenario the framework had built — and reveal one it hadn’t.

A divided FOMC, confirmed yen intervention worth $34.5 billion, and oil near triple digits made the week of April 27 to May 1 one for the books.

With the European Central Bank refusing to pre-commit to any rate path, the euro looks stuck in “paralysed policymaker” mode. What does this mean for the euro?

The BOE’s April hold gave traders a clearer look at why the pound is stuck between inflation risks and growth worries.

The Fed just held rates for the third time in a row, but the drama inside the room was unlike anything in 30 years.

The BOC kept its rates on hold for the fourth straight time this April, but with tariffs squeezing growth and an oil-driven inflation spike on the way, the Loonie story is anything but simple.

The UAE is leaving OPEC. We break down the reasons behind the split and what it means for crude oil prices.

With inflation back on the rise and the hawks getting louder, will the BOE finally signal it’s time to tighten?

Will the ECB pull the trigger when it comes to policy tightening? Or do the dovish policymakers still outnumber the hawks? Here’s what to look out for in the upcoming ECB decision.

The BOJ disappointed, WTI is knocking on $100, and Iran blinked first. Here’s where the original scenarios stand heading into Wednesday’s FOMC gauntlet.

Canada’s central bank is scheduled to announce its monetary policy decision this week! Are they leaning towards hiking interest rates to combat inflation?

With oil driving inflation higher and cuts off the table (for now), will Powell’s final presser signal that rate hikes are coming?

New Zealand’s Q1 CPI beat forecasts and repriced RBNZ expectations – here’s how our NZD watchlist setups held up.

GBP/USD has been climbing for weeks, but it’s shaping up to be a slow grind inside a wide range rather than a clear trend.

Is the Bank of Japan (BOJ) getting ready to adjust monetary policy this time or will they just step up their jawboning game? Here’s what you need to know when trading this central bank event.

Gold fell during the week’s worst escalation. Five central banks, a Warsh confirmation vote, US GDP, and stalled Hormuz peace talks define the week ahead.

The week cycled through three scenario states before settling — and the framework’s two-tier WTI regime, DXY-first gold lens, and 7,049 equity floor all held.