Ahhhh, the million dollar question….
Throughout your journey as an aspiring forex trader you will find strong advocates for each type of analysis. Do not be fooled by these one-sided extremists! One is not better than the other…they are all just different ways to look at the market.
At the end of the day, you should trade based on the type of forex analysis you are most comfortable and profitable with.
Market sentiment analysis determines whether the market is bullish or bearish on the current or future fundamental outlook.
Fundamental factors shape sentiment, while technical analysis helps us visualize that sentiment and apply a framework to create our trade plans.
Those three work hand-in-hand-in-hand to help you come up with good forex trade ideas. All the historical price action and economic figures are there – all you have to do is put on your thinking cap and put those analytical skills to the test!
Let me pull out that three-legged stool again just to emphasize the importance of all three types of analysis.
Take out one or two legs of the stool and it’s going to be shaky, right?!
In order to become a true forex master you will need to know how to effectively use these three types of forex market analysis.
Don’t believe us?
Let us give you an example of how focusing on only one type of analysis can turn into a disaster.
- Let’s say that you’re looking at your charts and you find a good trading opportunity.You get all excited thinking about the money that’s going to be raining down from the sky.You say to yourself, “Man, I’ve never seen a more perfect trading opportunity in GBP/USD. I love my charts. Mwah. Now show me the money!”
- You then proceed to buy GBP/USD with a big fat smile on your face (the kind where all your teeth are showing).
- But wait! All of a sudden the trade makes a 100 pip move in the OTHER DIRECTION! Little did you know, one of the major banks in London filed for bankruptcy! Suddenly, everyone’s sentiment towards Britain’s market turns sour and everyone trades in the opposite direction!
- Your big fat smile turns into mush and you start getting angry at your charts. You throw your computer on the ground and begin to pulverize it. You just lost a bunch of money, and now your computer is broken into a billion pieces.And it’s all because you completely ignored fundamental analysis and sentimental analysis.
(Note: This was not based on a real story. This did not happen to us. We were never this naive. We were always smart forex traders…. From the overused sarcasm, we think you get the picture.)
Ok, ok, so the story was a little over-dramatized, but you get the point.
Remember how your mother used to tell you as a kid that too much of anything is never good?
Well you might’ve thought that was just hogwash back then but in forex, the same applies when deciding which type of analysis to use.
Don’t rely on just one.
Instead, you must learn to balance the use of all of them. It is only then that you can really get the most out of your trading.
Where do we go from here?
Now that you’re done with Kindergarten and learned a little bit about each type of analysis, it’s time to delve much deeper! Here’s what’s in store for the next few years of your life…
We’re kidding, we’re kidding! We’re talking about the next few school years in the School of Pipsology.
Grade school will be all about basic technical analysis tools.
You’ll learn all about the dynamics behind price action, such as support and resistance levels, candlestick formations, and common chart patterns. You’ll experiment with leading and lagging indicators and discover how to use them in coming up with trade ideas. Sounds pretty exciting, doesn’t it?
The remaining years of middle school and high school are devoted to studying more technical analysis tools.
We’ll take a look at the more advanced forex tools also such as pivot points, divergences, Elliott Wave Theory, and Gartley patterns. Sounds fancy? It’s because they are! Bet you can’t wait to get started on those!
College will be a bit more complicated since you’ll be tackling both fundamental and market sentiment analysis at the same time. Talk about hitting two birds with one stone! You’re the stone and the birds are… well, you get the point.
A couple of reasons why we’re putting fundamental and market sentiment analysis together:
- By the time you reach college, you’ll be so hooked on learning more about forex that one lesson simply won’t be enough.
- It is hard to draw the line between fundamental analysis and market sentiment analysis, but you’ll get there with deliberate practice.
As we mentioned earlier, fundamental factors are mostly responsible for shaping forex market sentiment. Those two types of analysis would take up both freshman and sophomore year of college.