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US durable goods orders were dismal for the month of December, as reported this morning. I would suspect “the new normal” debate is alive and well at PIMCO, whether or not Mohammad El-Erian is participating or not.
Read MoreMany of the rationales that may power the dollar higher are the same that seem dangerous for emerging markets.
Read MoreI shorted the New Zealand dollar today; it’s my second try this year. Three rationales:
1. Chart setup 2. Rising current account 3. Yield spread
Read MoreThough many are optimistic and there are positive signs, Mr. Market hasn’t yet issued its final verdict on Japan’s three-arrow strategy.
Read MoreI was going to prepare a year-end review; until I read Professor Dave Collum’s 2013 review and analysis of the markets.
Read MoreIt seems pretty clear the Japanese stock market and the Japanese yen are moving in unison, i.e. higher Japanese stocks and higher USD/JPY (yen weakens as stocks rally).
Read MoreOh Canada; can your currency crater? We added Canadian dollar puts in our Currency Options Strategist and went long USD/CAD in our Black Swan Forex service today…here are some reasons why:
Read MoreIt’s that jolly time of year again. The bears are in hibernation and the bulls are getting fat.
Read MoreIf you can forecast interest rates, you should just trade bond futures and make a fortune and forget about currencies, to paraphrase John Percival of Currency Bulletin.
Read MoreNo change to our view despite the near-term volatility and rally in EUR/USD again this week.
Read MoreThe greatest pleasure in life is doing what people say you cannot do.Walter Bagehot