Analysis

A look at the forces pulling gold lower, from an oil-driven inflation scare to a fractured Iran ceasefire, and what could come next.

The dollar round-tripped to flat as Iran headlines whipsawed oil, hawkish Fed minutes stirred rate bets, and a surprise RBNZ hike crowned the Kiwi this week.

Gold is testing a major Fibonacci floor as bulls and bears battle for control of the metal’s current broader trend.

Chip stocks drove a Thursday rally even as the US and Iran traded airstrikes. Here’s why AI investment news can outweigh geopolitical risk in markets.

An oil supply shock this week flipped the usual script for the Canadian dollar, as Trump declared the US-Iran ceasefire over. Can the Canadian employment report turn things around for USD/CAD?

With no NFP noise to drown out the impact of Canada’s jobs report this week, this top-tier release could trigger a bigger market reaction than usual. Here’s what to look out for.

The RBNZ delivered its first rate hike in three years, leaving traders wondering whether the Fed can match hawkish tone.

The June Fed minutes could test whether markets are right to price hawkish risks, or whether Warsh’s silence muddies the dollar setup.

Tanker attacks near a key shipping route and a fresh OPEC+ supply increase are pulling oil prices in opposite directions this week. 

Oil jumped 4.7% after the U.S. pulled Iran’s waiver, the dollar recovered, and gold fell. Updated scenarios, fresh levels, and the Wednesday Fed-minutes plan inside.

The June U.S. jobs report came in as traders were already juggling Fed uncertainty, fragile risk sentiment, and yen intervention nerves. Which among our watchlist USD setups made the cut?

If the RBNZ sounds less upbeat on the Kiwi, then GBP/NZD and NZD/USD could offer interesting setups for NZD traders.

Will the RBNZ hike interest rates and signal scope for further tightening? Here’s what I’m watching on NZD/CHF and AUD/NZD if this happens.

With a July rate hike back in play, the RBNZ’s next decision could give Kiwi increased volatilty in the next trading sessions.

EUR/USD sits at a fork this week. The dollar just posted its worst week in a month, but the pair still trades below a broken uptrend line.

The jobs miss repriced the Fed; Wednesday’s minutes test that story. Gold and stocks sit at highs while OPEC+ barrels meet a nervous Hormuz.

The Nasdaq 100 just closed out its best first half in years on a wave of AI enthusiasm, only to wobble in June. So what happens next?

Silver just spent the first half of 2026 swinging from record highs to a sharp crash. So what happens next?

What’s next for gold in the second half of 2026? After record highs and a sharp pullback, gold’s next big move remains an open question.

This time the calendar was right: a payrolls miss and a dovish Warsh sank the dollar. Scenario C was operative, and all five asset directions came in.