Last week ended with a shock that is still being priced. The U.S. jobs report badly undershot — 57,000 payrolls against a forecast near 110,000 — and a dovish turn from Fed Chair Warsh at Sintra had already softened the rate story a day earlier. The dollar fell to a two-week low, gold pressed toward $4,200, the S&P 500 closed one of its strongest quarters in about six years, and Bitcoin recovered to finish green. Now comes the harder kind of week: the calendar is thin, U.S. markets return from a long weekend, and the one scheduled hinge is a document, not a data print — the Fed’s June meeting minutes on Wednesday. Meanwhile the oil story turned two-sided over the weekend: OPEC+ ratified another quota increase just as a batch of tankers made unexplained U-turns in the Strait of Hormuz. Below: the full calendar, three scenarios with levels for the dollar, gold, stocks, oil, and Bitcoin, and the two overlay lanes. The One Screen section stands alone if you read nothing else.