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We saw mostly choppy price action, but it was an overall positive week for both the euro and the Swiss franc, likely supported by a round of  net positive economic and sentiment updates from Europe.

The Euro

Overlay of EUR Pairs: 1-Hour Forex Chart
Overlay of EUR Pairs: 1-Hour Forex Chart
EUR Weekly Performance from MarketMilk
EUR Weekly Performance from MarketMilk

European Headlines and Economic data

Monday:

French Business conditions continue to improve with another marked rise in output

Final Eurozone Manufacturing PMI at 51.8 in July (Flash: 51.1, June Final: 47.4)

Spanish Manufacturing PMI: 53.5 in July vs. 49.0 in June

Tuesday:

Spain logs first fall in unemployment since February

Industrial producer prices up by +0.7% in both euro area and EU in June m/m

Wednesday:

Spain’s service sector PMI: 51.9 in July vs. 50.2 in June

France sees sharp rise in services PMI: 57.3 in July vs. 50.7 in June

German business activity rebounds strongly in July

Eurozone Services Business Activity Index: 54.7 in July vs. 48.3 in June

Thursday:

German Manufacturing June 2020: new orders up 27.9% m/m (seasonally adjusted)

Eurozone construction downturn slows further: 48.9 in July vs. 48..3 in June

Friday:

German Exports in June 2020: +14.9% on May 2020

German industrial production in June 2020: +8.9% m/m

In June 2020, French manufacturing continued to recover (+14.4%)

Italy posts 6.2 billion euro trade surplus in June

The Swiss Franc

Overlay of CHF Pairs: 1-Hour Forex Chart
Overlay of CHF Pairs: 1-Hour Forex Chart
CHF Weekly Performance from MarketMilk
CHF Weekly Performance from MarketMilk

Swiss Headlines and Economic data

Monday:

The Swiss consumer price index (CPI) fell by 0.2% in July 2020 m/m to 101.2 points

Swiss PMI July 2020: The industrial PMI also made up for the slump

Broad weakness for both the euro and franc during the U.S. session, likely on positive risk sentiment flows (broad U.S. equity strength (once again lead by the tech sector) and/or positive coronavirus news (Eli Lilly starts late-stage study of coronavirus drug in nursing homes).

Tuesday:

Swiss consumer sentiment makes a strong recovery but remains below average at -12 in July

Wednesday:

The franc and the euro were net winners on the session. On top of the positive Services PMI updates from Europe, we saw some global risk-off vibes during the U.S. session, sparked by the much weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs read from ADP.

Thursday:

Weakness for the EUR and CHF during the U.S. trading session may be due to risk-on sentiment after the better-than-expected U.S. unemployment claims, or hopes of a new U.S. stimulus deal before the end of the week.

Friday:

The Swiss franc was broadly higher during the U.S. session, possibly on positive German data, but more likely due to broad negative risk sentiment. This may have been driven by  rising geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and China, and/or the eventual failure of the U.S. government to come up with a stimulus package before the end of the week.