Before moving on, ICYMI, today’s Daily London Session Watchlist looked at an opportunity forming on AUD/USD as the anti-dollar trend continues, so be sure to check that out to see if there is still a potential play!
|Equity Markets||Bond Yields||Commodities & Crypto|
DAX: 13397.12 +0.80%
FTSE: 6388.96 +1.96%
S&P 500: 3661.05 +1.09%
NASDAQ: 12288.14 +0.73%
US 10-YR: 0.914% +0.072
Bund 10-YR: -0.529% +0.043
UK 10-YR: 0.345% +0.038
JPN 10-YR: +0.025% +0.004
Oil: 44.37 -2.14%
Gold: 1,812.20 +1.75%
Bitcoin: 19,322.25 -1.75%
Ethereum: 606.13 -1.2%
Fresh Market Headlines & Economic Data:
Upcoming Potential Catalysts on the Economic Calendar
ECB President Lagarde speech at 5:00 pm GMT
Fed Daly speech at 6:15 pm GMT
Fed Evans speech at 8:00 pm GMT
New Zealand Trade index at 9:45 pm GMT
RBA Governor Lowe speech at 12:00 am GMT (Dec. 2)
Australia GDP at 12:30 am GMT (Dec. 2)
Bank of Japan Amamiya speech at 1:30 am GMT (Dec. 2)
Japan Consumer Confidence at 5:00 am GMT (Dec. 2)
What to Watch: EUR/USD
On the one hour chart above of EUR/USD, we can see that the bulls were able to push above the major resistance area today around the major psychological level of 1.2000.
It’s likely today’s better-than-expected business sentiment updates from Europe were supportive of that move, as well as the continued negative sentiment on the U.S. dollar that goes back to the early stage of the pandemic.
And going forward, this trend may continue with no major catalysts ahead that could possibly derail that trend. We have a pretty light calendar ahead for both currencies, void of any major potential catalysts that we can see.
For those who think this trend will continue and that we won’t see any surprise events / news to end the trend, scaling into a long position from current levels down to the broken major price level of 1.2000 is an entry strategy to consider for a swing long position.
For the more conservative bulls who think that this run from 1.1600 to 1.2000 may be overdone, wait for a pullback to 1.2000, where we could see support if retested. Watch out for reversal patterns between 1.1960 (minor support area) – 1.2000 before considering a swing long position.
For the bears, if we do see a surprise catalyst to shift broad global risk sentiment towards negative AND the Greenback rallies broadly on the news, consider building a short position below 1.2000, but be very cautious as this is counter the broader “vaccine-driven recovery” theme that has been pushing the markets towards risk over the last month.