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Key News

Key Reports (WSJ):
7:00 a.m. June 1 Mortgage Refinance Applications: Previous: -23.3%.
8:30 a.m. May Durable Goods Orders: Expected: -1.5%. Previous: +1.9%.
10:00 a.m. May New Home Sales: Expected: +2.6%. Previous: +0.3%.
10:30 a.m. June 1 U.S. Energy Dept Oil Inventories


To know that you do not know is the best.
To pretend to know when you do not know is a disease.


FX Trading – Bad day of the dollar
We were expecting at least one day of follow-through (actually more) on the green shoot to brown weed re-think, thinking it would benefit the dollar as it did on Monday, but no dice.  It seems all attention is back on the Fed and quantitative ease and signs of recovery—QE and recovery both synonymous in traders’ minds to sell the greenback.

Not to let the facts get in the way of anyone’s expectations, knowing we’ve been steamrolled by real prices moved by real peoples’ expectations, but if you didn’t notice in the Key News items above, we wanted to re-iterate and expand a bit:

Japan, one of the world’s MAJOR exporters, just posted a 40.9% DECLINE in exports for the month of May, compared to May last year. 

  • Steel, autos, and semiconductors led the slump
  • China’s 4 trillion yuan ($585 billion) in stimulus measures haven’t been enough to offset sales declines in the U.S. and Europe.

Ho hum….

Durable goods orders at 8:30 and new homes sales at 10:00, with the verdict from the Fed is delivered at 2:15 p.m. today.  Stay tuned.