Trade Ideas

Australian CPI data didn’t do enough to change RBA rate cut expectations, potentially setting up AUD/JPY for a bearish move as broad risk & AUD sentiment sours.

Market players are anticipating hotter annual inflation readings from Australia this week. Will this lead to the Aussie gaining pips against counterparts like Loonie or franc?

Markets appear to be pricing in an interest rate cut from Australia’s central bank early this year, so I’m keeping close tabs on these EUR/AUD and AUD/JPY levels in case the inflation report misses expectations.

It’s time to take a quick look on lessons from 2024 & see how we can improve our perception & expectations when observing and trading the Greenback in 2025.

The BOE gang is widely expected to keep its policies unchanged in December. We have the points you need to know if you’re trading the event!

Will BOJ Governor Ueda and his fellow policymakers agree to tighten policy this week? Or are they more likely to sit on their hands for the time being?

The Fed is widely expected to cut its interest rates by 25bps this week. How might the U.S. dollar react to the news, and how can you trade the event?

Can the U.K. jobs data help Sterling recover from recent losses, or will signs of labor market weakness add more fuel to BOE rate cut expectations?

This week our currency strategists focused on the Reserve Bank of Australia and Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Statements for potential high-quality setups.

From the Nasdaq shattering the 20,000 barrier to gold’s surge toward $2,700 and bitcoin’s rollercoaster ride, the week’s drama has traders rethinking their playbooks for 2025.

We saw a whirlwind of central bank decisions and geopolitical surprises, with policy divergence reshaping currency dynamics and data surprises keeping traders on their toes.

Our short position in EUR/GBP was taken out after a weaker-than-expected U.K. GDP update. Let’s take a look at the outcome & compare it with other theoretical adjustment options to see what we can learn. 

The ECB is widely expected to cut its interest rates in December. How does EUR usually react to the central bank statement and press conference?

With the ECB monetary policy statement ahead, here’s a quick discussion on potential adjustment strategies & what we did with our EUR/GBP short position.

While the decision may have already been priced in CAD’s current prices, dovish hints in BOC’s press conference could lead to further losses for the Loonie.

Will the BOC cut interest rates by another 50bps this time? Or will they signal a slower pace of easing soon? Here’s what I’m watching on CAD/JPY and NZD/CAD if the Canadian central bank seems less dovish than usual.

Markets widely expect BOC members to cut interest rates by another 50bps. How may CAD react to the adjustment? We have the deets you need to know if you’re trading the event!

RBA is anticipated to hold its rates steady, but the scheduled presser and speeches by central bank members leave room for a bias shift that may weigh on the Aussie.

The upcoming RBA decision could reinforce the Australian central bank’s position as one of the more hawkish ones around, as policymakers are expected to keep rates on hold again.

This week our currency strategists focused on the Australian Q3 GDP Report & its potential impact on the AUD for potential high-quality setups.