GBP/AUD Fib Short Setup?
We saw a strong pop in the British pound on the session against the majors, likely sparked by comments from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey that toned down the speculation of negative interest rates coming for the U.K.
Short-term, this is indeed bullish for Sterling as we witnessed this session, but longer-term, Brexit transition uncertainty and COVID lockdowns will likely continue to keep the pressure on GBP.
Today’s rally in GBP/AUD may be an opportunity to play the longer-term trend lower in the pair, and with the Aussie still beating out the rest of the majors in the new year, it’s likely the best currency to play expectations of further weakness in Sterling, at least until we get new catalysts that shift overall sentiment.
So if you’re a bear on GBP/AUD, shorting around the Fibonacci retracement area / broken support-turned-resistance area may be an attractive place to get bearish, especially with Stochastic signaling short-term overbought conditions.
And using the other side of the Fibs/broken support as a tight stop guide, the potential return-on-risk is pretty strong, even if just targeting the previous swing lows around 1.7420.
But keep in mind too that the 1.7500 area is a major support area, so things could get sloppy in GBP/AUD for now, making scaling in entry strategies something to consider to improve your overall entry price.
It can also get pretty nasty for the bears too if global risk sentiment flips towards negative, a fear that seems to be growing in the financial markets as bond yields rise and COVID cases continue to spike in the wrong direction.
What do you all think? Are you watching GBP/AUD for a potential trade? If so, what’s your directional bias and entry strategy? Let me know in the comments section below!
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