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Woah woah woah! These major currencies seem to be all over the place these days.

In particular, as Forex Gump mentioned, the commodity currencies no longer seem to be following the usual market correlations lately and he gave 3 possible reasons why.

For now, it looks like currency-specific events would continue to rock the currency pairs as central bank officials have been talking about their monetary policies.


On top of that, there are a few monetary policy meeting minutes set for release for the rest of the week which could set the tone for interest rate expectations.

That’s it for me today! I’m still looking for a trade setup this week as I’m aiming to bounce back from my recent NZD/USD heartbreak. Got any tips for me?

Potential Trade Setups

AUD/USD: Resistance at 1.0350?
AUD/USD Rising Channel

While you’re wondering why the 4h falling channel is breaking, it’s probably because a RISING channel is starting to form on the lower time frame. AUD/USD is about to reach the 1.0350 handle, which is near the mid-channel resistance on the 1-hour chart. Think this setup will hold till the end of the week?

USD/CAD: Possible trend line support
USD/CAD Rising Trend LineCalling all comdoll bears! USD/CAD is about to touch the rising trend line on the 1-hour chart, which isn’t far from the 1.0100 major handle. Stochastic is near the oversold region, too, so you better watch out for a possible retracement trade!

NZD/USD: Head and shoulders in the works?
NZD/USD Head and Shoulders

As much as I’d like to not look at the Kiwi for weeks, spotting another setup is a good way to get over my recent NZD/USD loss. The pair is currently testing the .8550 area, which is near the neckline of a rough head and shoulder pattern. Remember to wait for a breakout before you short this pair!

Comdoll Event Highlights for February 18-22, 2013


As you can see, there aren’t a lot of major events for the comdolls this week. Only the Canadian retail sales and the Canadian CPI could be the tradeable events, as well as the RBA monetary policy meeting minutes due tomorrow.

Don’t forget to keep an eye out for the U.S. data this week, too! There are no releases from the U.S. today as traders could be prepping for the U.S. PPI, FOMC meeting minutes, and CPI data due midweek.

If you’re like me and you’re still unsure where the comdolls will go, maybe a look at the potential inflection points on AUD/USD, USD/CAD, and NZD/USD will help us out.

Significant Levels to Watch Out For

Week Open (WO)
Previous Week High (PWH)
Previous Week Low (PWL)
Top Weekly ATR (tWATR)
Bottom Weekly ATR (bWATR)
Other significant levels
1.0085, 1.0000
0.8500, 0.8350

This content is strictly for informational purposes only and does not constitute as investment advice. Trading any financial market involves risk. Please read our Risk Disclosure to make sure you understand the risks involved.