Some “Overlays”

I am painfully aware, through real money loss, correlation is not causation. And often said correlation can break down just at the worst time—when you bet on it. Even more concerning is the belief diversification of portfolios is based on the idea of “non-correlation.”

Allen Iverson leaves Philly; The Philly Fed Index takes a beating. Correlation?

Ok maybe not but the Philly Fed Index did drop to -4.3 compared to last month's index which was at 5.1. This was much lower than the expected 3.0 figure that was forecasted and shows that the manufacturing sector is still softening. Recall that the Empire index was relatively flat, and even though it's usually firmer than the Philly Index, this is a wider than normal difference between the 2 reports. However, if you look at the entire picture, it actually makes sense that the manufacturing sector is decreasing.

Losing Me Quids

Just a while back, one could probably say that there was a strong correlation among higher-yielding currencies. But now, I'm not sure if we should include the pound into that equation, given the crazy and wild swings by pound pairs the past couple of weeks.

Chartage!

Another head shaker it seems. Just when we were warming to the idea of gold and the US$ moving arm in arm, the correlation breaks down or maybe pauses or maybe never was; either way we are now back to the old game of higher dollar and lower gold

Don’t wish it were easier. Wish you were better.Jim Rohn