The BOE is up in a few hours! Check out why the central bank event could set EUR/GBP up for a potential trend continuation.
Fresh Market Headlines & Economic Data:
- U.S.-China trade deal signing could be delayed to December
- AIG: Construction decline eases as housing falls at slowest rate in 15 months
- Australia’s trade surplus surprises to the upside, widens to 7.18B AUD
- Mood of Japan manufacturers at its bleakest since 2013, outlook weak
- Asia stocks stymied by trade talk frustration
Upcoming Potential Catalysts on the Forex Calendar:
- Germany’s industrial production at 7:00 am GMT
- Switzerland’s foreign currency reserves at 8:00 am GMT
- ECB’s economic bulletin at 9:00 am GMT
- Italy’s retail sales at 9:00 am GMT
- European Commission’s quarterly economic forecasts at 10:00 am GMT
- BOE’s monetary policy decision and report at 12:00 pm GMT
- Mark Carney’s presser at 12:30 pm GMT
- U.S. unemployment claims at 1:30 pm GMT
What to Watch: EUR/GBP
The biggest data release on today’s London session docket is the Bank of England (BOE)’s monetary policy decision. Analysts see Governor Carney and his team maintaining their current 0.75% interest rates.
However, they also expect central bank members to downgrade their growth and inflation forecasts in their quarterly monetary policy report as they consider a weaker labor market, souring investor sentiment, and the economic impact of Brexit AND election-related uncertainties.
EUR/GBP is consolidating just above the .8600 handle that lines up with a 50% Fibonacci retracement on the 1-hour time frame.
If Carney and his team signal enough dovishness to hint at rate cuts in 2020, then we could see EUR/GBP pop up to the .6825 levels closer to the 61.8% Fib and the descending channel resistance.
Watch how the pair reacts to the level to see if you’ll need to use a trend play or an upside breakout strategy.
For the past 30 days, EUR/GBP typically sees its most volatile day on Thursdays. Specifically, it tends to move by more than 80 pips during the day. Make sure you place your stops beyond that if you’re planning on trading the BOE’s event.