The Fed held at 3.50% to 3.75% on a 9-3 vote, dropped forward guidance, and the dollar still closed the weakest major of the week. Oil lost a tenth of its price on Monday and won most of it back on Wednesday. Korean chip stocks halted twice, then rallied 18%. This recap grades every scenario the Sunday sheet published. Two of the lanes it weighted most heavily never confirmed, while the 14% lane ran the week. Two named levels landed within four points and half a daily range of the week's extremes. Full scorecard, rules and accuracy tracker inside.