This week is the digestion test after a loud one. Last week a hawkish Fed surprise flipped a peace rally into a dollar breakout, sending the greenback to its highest level since March and pulling gold, stocks, and Bitcoin lower. Now the calendar goes quiet until Thursday — and Thursday is the whole story. U.S. Core PCE (the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge) lands at 12:30 GMT alongside Final GDP, and it is the number that either confirms the Fed’s hike worry or undercuts it. At the same time, an unscheduled driver is back in play: U.S. and Iranian teams opened talks in Switzerland on Sunday, but the process is fragile. Below you’ll find the full event calendar, three PCE scenarios with levels for gold, oil, stocks, the dollar, and Bitcoin, plus an overlay lane for the Iran headline. The One Screen section stands alone if you read nothing else.