Analysis

Major central bank decisions, trade tensions, and a high-stakes U.S. jobs report are setting the stage for heightened volatility and shifting FX trends heading into the new week!

This week our currency strategists focused on the RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement for potential high-quality setups. So, how did our technical and fundamental analysis play out?

Trump tariffs sparked court battles, appeals delays. Dollar volatility, Fed minutes, Canadian GDP surprises created intense currency market turbulence this week.

Trade developments continued to dominate as Trump’s EU tariff delays & federal court rulings on trade policy created volatility across global assets.

If the RBNZ leans more dovish than expected, EUR/NZD and NZD/CHF could set up some interesting trade opportunities as the Kiwi gives back some of its recent strength.

The possibility of a 0.25% rate cut by the RBNZ has been priced in for some time now, so are we just about to see a muted reaction from the Kiwi? Here’s what I’m watching on NZD/USD and AUD/NZD in this case.

The RBNZ is slated to cut interest rates for the SIXTH consecutive time this May. Will they signal further easing to come?

Last week’s GBP/NZD setup following the UK CPI release provides an excellent case study on static position holding vs. dynamic position management

It’s gonna be another busy week with key events like the RBNZ rate decision, the FOMC meeting minutes, and the U.S. core PCE index lined up! How can these impact the current themes driving price action lately?

This week our currency strategists focused on the U.K. CPI Report (April 2025) for potential high-quality setups in the British pound.

This week our currency strategists focused on the RBA Monetary Policy Statement (May 2025) for potential high-quality setups in the Aussie.

The Japanese yen emerged as the week’s top performer while the U.S. dollar suffered broad weakness amid mounting fiscal concerns and escalating tariff threats.

Markets quickly transformed from quiet trading into risk-off action as mounting fiscal concerns & fresh trade tensions reshuffled thinking on the major assets.

Has Euro Area manufacturing broken out of contraction territory, or did geopolitical tensions weigh on the region’s business outlook?

Markets expect U.K. consumer prices to have accelerated from March to April. But much of this may already be priced in, suggesting minimal downside risk from the actual release.

How might the British pound react to this week’s CPI report? We have the deets you need to know if you’re trading the event!

Australian jobs data created opportunities where Moderate & Aggressive strategies produced nearly identical risk-adjusted returns despite different structures. Let’s review!

The RBA is widely expected to cut rates by 25bps this week but markets might be underestimating the possibility of a bullish move despite a rate cut.

The RBA is widely expected to cut rates in this week’s meeting, but what if they announce a larger than expected 0.50% reduction? Here’s what I’m watching on AUD/JPY and GBP/AUD if this happens.

All eyes are on RBA’s decision amid cautious optimism following the US-China tariff truce. We have the points you need to know if you’re trading the event!