Analysis

Tariff concerns are weighing on commodity-related currencies lately, but can a strong GDP read improve AUD demand? Here’s why we’re watching AUD/CAD and AUD/CHF.

The Land Down Under is scheduled to print another major report in the form of its GDP reading this week, and the results could continue to shape RBA policy expectations.

This week is shaping up to be another volatile one for the currency market, as top-tier economic catalysts like the ECB decision, Canadian jobs report and U.S. non-farm payrolls data are lined up.

This week, our currency strategists focused on Australia’s CPI Report (January 2025) for potential high-quality setups in Australian dollar pairs.

U.S. tariff policy developments were a major factor driving market sentiment & fx flows, followed by business & consumer sentiment updates shaking up sentiment as well.

Financial markets likely experienced their most volatile week of the quarter as traders navigated economic data, geopolitical developments, and policy shifts.

NZD/CHF has dropped significantly since our last update, with global growth concerns weighing on risk-sensitive currencies following disappointing PMI data. Let’s review the final outcome of our case study.

The RBA appears to have dampened future easing expectations in their latest policy decision, but can a downbeat Australian CPI report reignite dovish vibes? Here’s what I’m watching on GBP/AUD and AUD/JPY in this case.

Leading indicators and market expectations are pointing to hotter price pressures in Australia in January. In this scenario, major Aussie pairs like EUR/AUD and AUD/CHF may reflect AUD strength.

After a “hawkish cut” event last week, traders will eye Australia’s latest inflation reports for clues on central bank’s next moves. Will the CPI data point to a rate cut?

Who’s ready for the first round of revisions on the U.S. GDP report? Better read up on what markets are expecting for the event and how the dollar could react.

Forex markets face a pivotal week ahead as traders digest potential U.S. trade tariffs, German election results, and key inflation data.

This week our currency strategists focused on the monetary policy statements from the Reserve Bank of Australia and Reserve Bank of New Zealand for potential high-quality setups in the comdolls.

The majors were all about trade tensions and central banks’ moves this week, while market sentiment was all over the place as traders tried to make sense of geopolitical headlines.

Geopolitical developments continued to be a driving force in the markets, initially triggering some risk-on flows before sentiment data turned traders sour on Friday.

Traders will eye February’s PMIs for clues on the region’s business activity amid increased tariff speculations. Will this week’s data support a March rate cut from the ECB?

With the RBA recently cutting interest rates but reiterating a cautious approach to further easing, what can the upcoming jobs report imply about future policy moves?

With the RBNZ set to cut rates, here’s an adjustment to our trading case study on NZD/CHF, reducing our risk with a couple of options to consider post event.

After the BOE’s “dovish split” decision earlier this month, market watchers are on the lookout for data that could tilt the odds in favor of more rate cuts.

Dovish remarks on top of a widely expected RBNZ rate cut could weigh on NZD and put like NZD/CAD and NZD/JPY in bearish trajectories.