Analysis

With the BOE dropping a bit of a hawkish surprise in their latest policy decision, the focus now turns to the U.K. labor market to see if the jobs numbers support a more optimistic economic outlook. Here’s what to look out for.

With tariff uncertainties in the spotlight, all eyes are on the April CPI release to see if early signs of inflation are already appearing.

It’s bound to be another busy week in the forex market with top-tier U.S. inflation figures, key jobs indicators from the U.K. and Australia, plus growth numbers from Europe. Here’s what to watch out for.

Out of the four scenario/price outlook discussions this week, our AUD/NZD discussion arguably saw both fundie & technical arguments triggered during the NZ jobs release.

There were plenty of moving parts in the market this week, as investors had to work around the highly-anticipated FOMC decision, trade updates between the U.S. and China, and another round of geopolitical tensions.

Markets played ping-pong with tariff news, starting with risk-off sentiment on foreign film tariffs, flipping midweek as US-China trade talks were announced.

Will Canada’s April jobs numbers reflect weakness and add to dovish BOC speculations? Or will they come in stronger-than-expected and fuel Canadian dollar demand?

Are Fed policymakers about to give in to Trump’s pressure to lower interest rates? Or will they maintain their relatively neutral stance for now? Here are the main points to take note of when trading the May FOMC decision.

Will this week’s Bank of England (BOE) monetary policy decision highlight a shift in biases among committee members? Here’s what you need to know when trading this major event.

Will New Zealand’s jobs data confirm the RBNZ’s dovish bias? Here’s what I’m watching on GBPNZD and NZDCHF if we see weaker-than-expected employment figures.

Can a strong employment report from New Zealand dash further hopes of RBNZ easing? Here’s what I’m looking at on NZD/JPY and AUD/NZD if that happens.

Will New Zealand’s jobs data support the idea of a more neutral RBNZ? Here are points you need to know if you’re trading New Zealand’s jobs event!

This week our currency strategists focused on Australia’s CPI Report for Q1 2025 and its potential impact on the Australian dollar for potential high-quality setups. How did these fare?

This week our currency strategists focused on the Bank of Japan (BOJ) Monetary Policy Statement for potential high-quality setups. So how did our analysis do?

We’ve got another busy week ahead with potential market movers, including the Fed and BOE rate decisions, Canadian jobs data, and key economic prints across major economies!

A volatile week in FX saw currencies whipsawed by shifting risk sentiment, weak U.S. data, central bank updates, and optimism around global trade de-escalation.

Financial markets wrestled with the usual slew of global trade updates, as well as surprise misses in U.S. growth and inflation data, plus big tech earnings reports.

Markets just brushed off a surprise Q1 GDP contraction, and now all eyes are on the April jobs report. Will the labor market show cracks or hold steady in the face of tariffs and recession chatter?

Even though the BOJ is widely expected to sit on their hands for now, hints about future tightening or upgrades in their inflation forecasts could still spur declines for CHF/JPY or NZD/JPY. Here’s what I’m looking at.

If Gov. Ueda and his team tone down interest rate hike hints this week, we think GBP/JPY and NZD/JPY present good trend opportunities for yen traders.