Our first setup for the day is this sweet little range on EUR/USD – the same one that Pipcrawler is trading! Right now, price is right smack in the middle of the range, so it’s hard to tell if we’ll see a test of support or resistance. If you think EUR/USD will remain range-bound, there are two ways you can play this: you can either short in the area of 1.3200, or go long at around 1.3050.
First it was acting as support, now it’s serving as resistance! I’m talking about the 76.65 level on USD/JPY, homies! If the pair manages to break above this line, it could end up scoring a touchdown by rallying even higher. But touchdowns don’t come easy – just ask the New England Patriots! The pair looks like it’s having a hard time crossing this level at the moment, and as you can see, Stochastic just crossed over after barely reaching the overbought region. This could be an early sign that the pair will make its way back down to 76.00.
Price is making lower highs while Stochastic is making higher highs? That’s a bearish divergence, baby! Could GBP/USD be on the verge of breaking down? Price tested the 1.5850 handle a couple times, and both attempts ended in failure. If you feel like rooting for the dollar, you may want to consider shorting at market or in the area of 1.5850. But if you feel that the pound’s bullish momentum will carry it higher, you may want to wait until we see a solid close above this resistance level.
To get the complete picture and avoid getting blindsided by economic data, you also have to do your fundamental analysis.