Pick of the Day: USD/CHF – Trade Closed

Trade Closed: 2008-03-19 18:21

Our trade went our way throughout the Asia/Euro trading session (hitting our first profit target along the way), but after testing .9900, the pair rallied and closed out our remaining position.

1st half: +80 pips
2nd half: +00 pips
Total: +.40% gain

While I think the US Dollar will continue to lose out to the Swiss Franc on interest rate differential and carry unwind, I think it’s going to be a battle for direction in the short term…possibly until we see the end of the US interest rate cuts. I hope everyone did well on this simple trade. Stay tuned for a new trade idea tonight!

Trade Idea: 2008-03-18 23:50

PoD Chart

Pretty simple trade idea tonight after today’s highly anticipated interest rate cut from the Fed. We saw a rally in USD/CHF leading up to todays Fed decision, but with the US Dollar pulling in interest now lower than Swiss Franc I think this pair may fall even further after this breather.

The pair is currently trading below parity, around the 50% Fibonacci retracement level drawn on the chart. There’s no major event news for either the USD or CHF, so I think parity will hold as resistance and as technical levels may play out strongly today.

Short USD/CHF at market (.9980), stop at 1.0080, pt1 at .9900, pt2 at .9800

Remember to never risk more than 1% of your account on any single trade. Adjust position sizes accordingly.

Good luck, good trading, and stay tuned!

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14 comments

  1. rcgreg

    I just wish these things were posted a little earlier – by the time I get them it is very late. Great trade though, tell me – what is your opinion of the Bill Williams indicators? Do you use them at all?
    Keep up the excellent work – I learn a lot even if I don’t get the trade email in time !!

    Reply
  2. PipcrawlerPipcrawler

    Hey rcgreg,

    I try to put out a trade idea out during the morning Asia trading session when I can. Look for them then… I have not used Bill Williams indicator, so I have no opinion of it. Thanks for the comments, much appreciated!

    Reply
  3. rcgreg

    I just wish these things were posted a little earlier – by the time I get them it is very late. Great trade though, tell me – what is your opinion of the Bill Williams indicators? Do you use them at all?
    Keep up the excellent work – I learn a lot even if I don’t get the trade email in time !!

    Reply
  4. PipcrawlerPipcrawler

    Hey rcgreg,

    I try to put out a trade idea out during the morning Asia trading session when I can. Look for them then… I have not used Bill Williams indicator, so I have no opinion of it. Thanks for the comments, much appreciated!

    Reply

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