Tonight’s pick is on GBP/USD. As you can see from the chart we saw extreme dollar weakness after the dovish comments from the Fed, but failure to break the 1.8500 level. So, now we see a move to the short side, but will it continue?? Where to from here?
Well, we have the Industrial and Manufacturing reports coming out of the UK at 4:30 am EST, and the Bank of England rate decision at 7:00 am EST. The market is expecting better numbers than previous for the Industrial and Manufacturing reports, but no change in the interest rate statement. So where does that leave us? We may see a quick move to the upside, but I will be looking for a short in this pair because without a rate hike in the UK I see the US dollar gaining ground on Cable. Here are a couple of short ideas:
Short GBP/USD at 1.8285, stop at 1.8325, pt1 at 1.8250, pt2 at 1.8200
Short GBP/USD at 1.8425, stop at 1.8460, pt1 at 1.8395, pt2 at 1.8355
Please be cautious during the morning US economic report releases at 8:30 am EST and 10:00 am EST.