About Pick of the Day

Pick of the Day Author

At the end of each trading day, I will find what I believe is the best looking short term trade setup for the upcoming trading day. If you're a forex newbie, it can be tricky in the beginning trying to figure out how to look at charts and draw lines. My goal is help you understand the psychology of price movements so you can learn to analyze your own charts and trade on your very own. Trades will be posted by 1 am ET, Monday through Thursday evening.

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June 2007

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Pick of the Day: GBP/USD

Today's focus will be on GBP/USD and UK interest rates. Cable has taken a beating as of late as the Greenback has rallied on the idea that a strengthening US economy will prevent the Fed from cutting rates. Where to now?

Well, later today we have inflation and trade balance data out of the UK, and the outcome could have a significant affect on Cable.

If we see weaker than expected CPI data, this will further take away any reasoning that the Bank of England will need to continue to fight inflation with further hikes. Of course, if we continue to see inflation strengthen then we can bet that a short-term rally will occur.

The Trade Balance report will be a strong indicator of the health of the economy, so look out for both reports at 4:30 am EDT. Here's our trade idea to prepare for positive or negative UK data:

Long GBP/USD at 1.9750, stop at 1.9710, pt1 at 1.9780, pt2 at 1.9800

or

Short GBP/USD at 1.9680, stop at 1.9720, pt1 at 1.9650, pt2 at 1.9625

Please remember to never risk more than 1% of your account on any single trade. Adjust your position sizes accordingly.

Good luck and good trading!

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