About Pick of the Day

Pick of the Day Author

At the end of each trading day, I will find what I believe is the best looking short term trade setup for the upcoming trading day. If you're a forex newbie, it can be tricky in the beginning trying to figure out how to look at charts and draw lines. My goal is help you understand the psychology of price movements so you can learn to analyze your own charts and trade on your very own. Trades will be posted by 1 am ET, Monday through Thursday evening.

Read First: Trade Rules!!

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January 2008

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Pick of the Day: EUR/USD - Close Open Orders

Close Open Orders: 2008-01-08 09:49

Our orders were not triggered yet and with US pending home sales data coming out in a few minutes I would like to get out of the way of event risk by closing our open orders.

Close orders to short EUR/USD at 1.4750

I have a feeling we will see disappoint data once again from the housing sector and with EUR/USD in ranging mode most of the day, I wouldn't be surprised to see a breakout rally in EUR/USD.

So, no trade. Stay tuned for a new idea tonight!

Trade Idea: 2008-01-08 00:01

PoD Chart

Good evening! I thought I'd start off the week with a simple Fibonacci play on EUR/USD.

I have pulled up the one hour chart as I expect that if this trade triggers, I am looking to hold on to it as a very short term play. In my opinion, we may see the Euro rally just a bit in the upcoming European trading session, but may find resistance at 1.4750. With the lack of any major Eurozone news, I think volatility will be limited ahead of the US pending home sales data later today.

The 50% - 61% Fibonacci retracement levels on the recent swing move may also serve as resistance to and upward breakout. We'll see...

So, I am looking to short and I may possibly close this trade out ahead of the US data at 8:30 am EST.

Short EUR/USD at 1.4750, stop at 1.4790, pt1 1.4710, pt2 1.4670

Remember to never risk more than 1% of your account on any single trade. Adjust position sizes accordingly.

Good luck!!!

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"Do not think that what your thoughts dwell on does not matter. Your thoughts are making you."
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