About Pick of the Day

Pick of the Day Author

At the end of each trading day, I will find what I believe is the best looking short term trade setup for the upcoming trading day. If you're a forex newbie, it can be tricky in the beginning trying to figure out how to look at charts and draw lines. My goal is help you understand the psychology of price movements so you can learn to analyze your own charts and trade on your very own. Trades will be posted by 1 am ET, Monday through Thursday evening.

Read First: Trade Rules!!

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May 2007

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Pick of the Day: CAD/JPY - Trade Closed

Trade Closed: 2007-05-20 21:30

Just a quick review from our trade on Thursday in which we were long CAD/JPY. April inflation data did come out stronger than expected which boosted the Loonie, but we hit a stumbling block on Friday as China widened the trading band for the Yuan. This proved to be more of a buying opportunity for the pair than a Yen rally as traders jumped back in soon after the announcement to sell more Yen and purchase riskier assets.

So, our trade reached full profitability. I hope everyone did well on this trade!

Total: +50 pips

Trade Update: 2007-05-17 07:55

Canadian CPI came out today with stronger than expected April inflation data. Headline came in at 0.4% and the core number at 0.2%. This boosted the Loonie against the majors and we saw our long trade triggered at 110.00. Unless we see a global risk reduction and the buying back of Yen, this trade should hit its target.

I had the stop for this trade posted at 109.30, which was a mistake. Please adjust the stop at 109.80.

We will trail this stop, so please stained tuned for updates! Good luck!

Trade Idea: 2007-05-17 00:42

Pick of the Day


Good morning! Well, we just saw a slightly weaker GDP number out of Japan and the Bank of Japan's decision to keep interest rates at the low 0.50%. This is not very supportive of the Yen, so we look to sell the Yen against one of the better performing currencies as of late - the Canadian Dollar.

Now, the pair is consolidating at the moment, but I am very confident the we will see it continue to rally as strong Canadian data continues to support the Loonie.

We do have Canadian CPI out later today, and a higher inflation number will continue to support the speculation of interest rate hikes in Canada or a weaker number will give traders an excuse to take profits on the Loonie run. I will look to buy above the previous high, or if a weaker number causes a selloff.

Even if the pair sells off I think it will be an opportunity to buy as the positive carry of holding long positions will support the pair.

Long half position CAD/JPY at 110.00, stop at 109.80, pt at 110.50

or

Long half position CAD/JPY at 108.50, stop at 108.20, pt at 109.00

Please remember to never risk more than 1% of your account on any position, so adjust your position sizes accordingly!

Good luck and good trading!

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