Riding EUR/USD’s Downtrend – Trade Closed

Trade Closed: 2010-11-22 00:22

EUR/USD 1-hour Chart

Bah! I thought EUR/USD was in the midst of a new downtrend, but I was wrong. Apparently, the market took the news of Ireland banks needing a bailout as GOOD news and bought up EUR/USD. How messed up is that?!?

In any case, this trade sets me back 130 pips or 1.0% of my account.

Stopped out at 1.3700: -130 pips / -1.0%

Yes, yes, I know… Losing is part of trading, don’t blame anyone but yourself… Sigh. Can’t help but feel bad though… I guess I’ll just have to lose more to get a hang of trading, right? Hah!

Trade Idea: 2010-11-17 00:38

EUR/USD 1-hour Chart

Shorting the euro is back in fashion! The euro has been dropping faster than the ratings of Conan O’Brien’s new show, and I want my piece of the action!

Apparently, concerns on Ireland’s possible need for a bailout continue to plague the markets and this is not making the euro bulls happy.

On the other side of the coin, the dollar has been rocking the pip charts for the past few days since the U.S. began to show good surprises in its economic reports and the Republican Party began taking digs at the U.S. Fed’s quantitative easing decision.

As for the technicals, I saw the pair dropping almost consistently in the one-hour chart. I placed my order right at the 38.2% Fib because Stochastic tells me that the pair can still rise a bit.

Now, if price goes my way, I will take half my position off at former lows and put a trailing stop on the other half of my position. By doing this, I am able to lock in profits and make sure that I catch the big wave!

I will place my stop the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, which is roughly equal to two-thirds the pair’s average true range.

Short EUR/USD 1.3570, pt1 at 1.3455, pt2 yet to be determined, stop loss at 1.3700.

I hope this round of euro-selling hasn’t lost steam yet! Wish me luck on this one!

8 comments

  1. fxtraderguild

    Good one, however my sentiment is LONG on EUR/USD. My enrty price is 1.3504 SL 1.3445. My SL is a real signal for DOWNTREND, therefore, I have a short pending order at 1.3445 once hitted I remain short on a longer time. Let us wait and see what happens as no man is master in forex!

    Reply
  2. fxtraderguild

    Good one, however my sentiment is LONG on EUR/USD. My enrty price is 1.3504 SL 1.3445. My SL is a real signal for DOWNTREND, therefore, I have a short pending order at 1.3445 once hitted I remain short on a longer time. Let us wait and see what happens as no man is master in forex!

    Reply
  3. trav72

    Apparently, the market took the news of Ireland banks needing a bailout as GOOD news and bought up EUR/USD. How messed up is that?!?

    sounds pretty messed up, if “they” had only taken longer to come to the bailout agreement then you might of been okay

    Reply
  4. trav72

    Apparently, the market took the news of Ireland banks needing a bailout as GOOD news and bought up EUR/USD. How messed up is that?!?

    sounds pretty messed up, if “they” had only taken longer to come to the bailout agreement then you might of been okay

    Reply

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