HLHB Weekly Update – March 5, 2010

PoD Chart

This week was a pretty hectic one, with a bunch of central bank rate decisions and the highly-anticipated US non-farm payrolls report. Just like the American Idol hopefuls, most majors bounced back from their dismal performance last week and attempted to finish stronger this week – some succeeded, others didn’t. Price action stalled mid-week as the movement then shifted in favor of the safe-haven currencies. Aside from Greece’s debt problems, the usual culprit in setting risk aversion loose, bleak labor figures from the US crushed hopes for an upbeat NFP figure. It turns out these blasted snowstorms did more than just damage my new suede boots!

Before I go, I have to confess something… On my last EURUSD short trade, I closed one of my positions early when the price missed my PT by a pip. I was just browsing through the charts during my lunch break and I noticed that the price bounced off 1.3551 and proceeded to move higher. This happened in my second position for my previous EURUSD trade and I wasn’t able to lock in those pips then. This time, I decided to deviate from my trade plan a bit and manually close half at 1.3560 because, well, I got scared.

As for my HLHB system, it had three crossovers this week. One was a loser, the other was invalid and the third one… well, I’m still in it.

The first crossover happened early on Friday, when the 10 EMA crossed under the 20 EMA. Stochastics still wasn’t in overbought territory, allowing me to go long once price goes 30-pip above the high of the crossover candle. Unfortunately, I was forced to exit my position once price made a bearish crossover soon after. I wasn’t able to jump short on that one though as price didn’t quite meet my 30-pip filter.

So now, the HLHB system is currently in a long trade that was triggered at 1.3653 yesterday. The stop is set at 1.3513.

A quick recap:

2/26/2010 12:00 pm GMT Signal: Enter at 1.3680, Stopped at new crossover at 1.3542 = -140 pips

3/1/2010 12:00 pm GMT Signal: Did not meet 30-pip filter

3/2/2010 8:00 pm GMT Signal: This is my current position, triggered at 1.3653 with stop at 1.3513

If you find this all confusing, just check out the my first post about the HLHB system here!

Anyway, my boy Casey James is still up and rockin’ on Idol. Go go go! :P

  • Onepipatatime

    Hi Huck,

    No harm being scared, I did the same. Trade appeared to be fairly sound when I set it up. EURUSD seemed to flatline for a couple of hours after just missing that TP though. I set SL to BE a let it ride for a bit. When it got to the bottom of its range I manually closed out 13 pips from the target. It then continued to head up. Phew! Nice trade by the way, kept me interested the whole time, especially when it nearly took out the SL after tripping the initial sell.

    Cheers,
    Brian

  • Onepipatatime

    Hi Huck,

    No harm being scared, I did the same. Trade appeared to be fairly sound when I set it up. EURUSD seemed to flatline for a couple of hours after just missing that TP though. I set SL to BE a let it ride for a bit. When it got to the bottom of its range I manually closed out 13 pips from the target. It then continued to head up. Phew! Nice trade by the way, kept me interested the whole time, especially when it nearly took out the SL after tripping the initial sell.

    Cheers,
    Brian

  • Crosbeezy

    Hello huck. I was reading your first blog about your system and you said you would be recording the number of wins/losses, longest winning streak, largest pip gain, and maximum drawdown. I was wondering what your numbers are so far.

  • Crosbeezy

    Hello huck. I was reading your first blog about your system and you said you would be recording the number of wins/losses, longest winning streak, largest pip gain, and maximum drawdown. I was wondering what your numbers are so far.

  • Huck

    Yep yep! I’m going to update you guys by the end of the first quarter… I’ll make it a post instead of a comment so others can benefit also. Stay tuned! :D

  • Huck

    Yep yep! I’m going to update you guys by the end of the first quarter… I’ll make it a post instead of a comment so others can benefit also. Stay tuned! :D