Cross-Eyeing: EUR/GBP – Update

Trade Update: 2007-07-09 13:25

And we are once again short EUR/GBP at the new entry price of .6760. The pair did make a run up towards .6780 before turning lower and trading below our entry price, currently around .6755. Has the short term trend realigned with the longer term trend?? We will just have and see.

Stay tuned for more updates and a possible trade idea on GBP/CHF!

Trade Review and Back In: 2007-07-05 21:15

Our original short in EUR/GBP was triggered soon after the idea was posted, but stopped out on a spike up during yesterday’s Euro trading session. This pair is still in a longer term down trend with the interest rate differential favoring a short play. I think our stop may have been just a bit too tight, so I’m jumping back in…who’s with me???

So, we lost -30 pips on this first trade, but I’m jumping back in short as it looks like the pair is having trouble breaking above the 240 MA’s…

Short EUR/GBP at .6760, stop at .6790, pt1 at .6740, pt2 at .6710

Good luck!

Trade Idea: 2007-07-03 11:00

crosseyed chart

We have a nice little chart setup on the EUR/GBP. It looks like the retracement found resistance at the 240 moving averages, and the downtrend may resume. Stochastics are coming out of overbought territory and starting to trend lower as well.

Fundamentally, the big news for the week for both currencies are the interest rate decisions from the Bank of England and European Central Bank, with the former expecting to hike rates. The only way I can see this trade going against us is if the ECB hikes rates and the BoE keeps things unchanged or lowers rates. Any other scenario favors Sterling and its higher interest rates.

Short EUR/GBP at .6745, stop at .6775, pt1 at .6725, pt2 at .6700

Remember to never risk more than 1% of your account on any single trade. Adjust position sizes accordingly!

  • mdetlh

    Not I- The BOE just raised their rates to 5.75%. Somewhere, Trichet noted that the ECB will keep their rates at 4%. A look at a weekly charts shows a bullish move from .6710 support from two weeks ago. I’d keep this a longer term hold if I like the interest rate differential, I don’t, but the trend and the differential should take this sucker over .6800 again. As far as retracing like your hoping, well, what a hope. We’ll see, this pair isn’t very volatile so don’t expect this pair to meet its target this week, and that is a lot of negative cost to your broker or bank. Eek count me out.

  • mdetlh

    My bad, everything is backward above, except for the weekly analysis. Going short should be a positive inflow to your account. Plenty of resistance on the weekly charts, where we start off the week, for the past few weeks, it will probably break recent support soon and go under 6700, why did it go this high in the first place? The Euro is so overvalued, but it keeps gaining value against the USD and GBP. This trade should pay off, hopefully this week.

  • mdetlh

    Not I- The BOE just raised their rates to 5.75%. Somewhere, Trichet noted that the ECB will keep their rates at 4%. A look at a weekly charts shows a bullish move from .6710 support from two weeks ago. I’d keep this a longer term hold if I like the interest rate differential, I don’t, but the trend and the differential should take this sucker over .6800 again. As far as retracing like your hoping, well, what a hope. We’ll see, this pair isn’t very volatile so don’t expect this pair to meet its target this week, and that is a lot of negative cost to your broker or bank. Eek count me out.

  • mdetlh

    My bad, everything is backward above, except for the weekly analysis. Going short should be a positive inflow to your account. Plenty of resistance on the weekly charts, where we start off the week, for the past few weeks, it will probably break recent support soon and go under 6700, why did it go this high in the first place? The Euro is so overvalued, but it keeps gaining value against the USD and GBP. This trade should pay off, hopefully this week.