USD/CAD – Trade Closed

Trade Closed: 2008-03-14 11:53

Our remaining position closed out at breakeven as the US Dollar rallied through out the morning European trading session and after US CPI read unchanged.

1st Half: +100 pips
2nd Half: +00 pips
Total: +.50% gain

It looks like our entry level was a resistance level once again as the pair has dropped back down after touching .9950. Risk aversion is still in play for global markets, especially after recent news of troubles with large US financial firms signaling more credit market concerns. Will probably continue to see US Dollar weakness, but look out for consolidation in the next few days ahead of the next Fed meeting. Stay tuned for new ideas!

Trade Update: 2008-03-13 08:24

Our trade hit our first profit target yesterday as it reached .9850. It appears that we saw a ton of buy orders at that level as the pair rallied soon after it touched, but traders got back US Dollar selling mode.

We closed a portion of our trade at .9850 and moved the stop to breakeven (.9950) to create a risk free trade. We will continue to watch the .9850 level and hold onto our position for now as US Dollar sentiment continues to be weak and commodities remain strong. Stay tuned and good luck!

Trade Update: 2008-03-11 09:56

Our trade has been triggered after a broad US Dollar rally yesterday, but after testing previous resistance and a slew of economic events this morning (most notably the Fed lending up to $200 Billion), the pair bounced off .9900 to just back below our entry point.

This injection of liquidity will support USD in the very short term, but in the long term we will probably still see a dollar decline. I will continue to hold onto this position as this rally may bring in more USD sellers to play the longer term sentiment.

Stay tuned for more updates. Good luck! :)

Trade Idea: 2008-03-09 21:16

comdollsff

Welcome back to another wonderful week of Forex trading! Today, we have a potential Fibonacci play on USD/CAD as the pair may resume its decline after Friday’s USD rally.

On the chart, we can see the pair has rallied back to the 38% Fibonacci retracement level after Friday’s disappointing US Jobs report. Pretty weird how traders bought back the Greenback after another negative number, but the rally was probably on profit taking as USD sold off ahead of the monster report. It may be back to US Dollar selling once again as the buyers of this pair may be in short supply now. Stochastics are showing this may be the case.

So, I look to short USD/CAD once again, but I will wait for the pair to reach the .9950 area (previous resistance) before pulling the trigger.

Short USD/CAD at .9950, stop at 1.0050, pt1 at .9850, pt2 at .9700

Remember to never risk more than 1% of your account on any single trade. Please adjust position sizes accordingly.

No major event risks until Tuesday, so we will just wait an see how the market plays out until then. Good luck my friends!

10 comments

  1. baileys

    JayBaum, no need for sarcasm here. If you don’t agree with Happy Pip’s opinion, at least enlighten us with your reasons. I had the exact same pending order entered this morning (before reading this post) but cancelled it at the last minute because I thought the USD had too much steam and might hit 1.0000, which is also the 61.8 fib level, before heading lower again.

    Reply
  2. Happy Piphappypip

    Thanks for the comments! Hey JayBaum… I would love to hear what you think will happen with USD/CAD and why. You may have some valid points which may adjust my view on this pair. That’s what we’re here for…to help each other….hope to hear from you soon!

    Reply
  3. baileys

    JayBaum, no need for sarcasm here. If you don’t agree with Happy Pip’s opinion, at least enlighten us with your reasons. I had the exact same pending order entered this morning (before reading this post) but cancelled it at the last minute because I thought the USD had too much steam and might hit 1.0000, which is also the 61.8 fib level, before heading lower again.

    Reply
  4. Happy Piphappypip

    Thanks for the comments! Hey JayBaum… I would love to hear what you think will happen with USD/CAD and why. You may have some valid points which may adjust my view on this pair. That’s what we’re here for…to help each other….hope to hear from you soon!

    Reply

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