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Many Forex traders, from those fresh off the block, to those who have been around for years, often forget that to survive over the long haul, common sense is a "must." However, when we're in the trees, we often find ourselves unable to see the forest. With a common sense approach, traders of all levels will find the "true paradigm" of profitable Forex at their fingertips. Using a common sense approach, traders will learn to spot future trends, often, before they ever even appear.

Who is Black Knight?

Pipscalibur Author

Known as the "Black Knight" in trading circles, Andrei Pehar is a private fund manager, consultant to management, and a sought-after speaker, trainer, and coach for professional traders and individual investors alike. He's also founder and Sr. Currency Strategist at fxKnight.com.

His client list includes prestigious names such as UBS, Tower Asset Management (named by Bloomberg as top asset manager), Clifford Associates (investment counselors since 1915, officially acknowledged as the oldest in the United States), and several other high profile firms specializing in investment and wealth management for musical artists, sports celebrities, and other ultra high net worth individuals and trusts. He is the author of "Trading Forex for Living", published by Harriman House

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How to Use the Tunnel of 5's

The Tunnel of 5's is a combination of two moving averages:

5-period smoothed moving average applied to the highs
5-period smoothed moving average applied to the lows

(If your charting package doesn't have smoothed MAs, then use exponential)

The idea is that you want to be trading outside of this tunnel. The tunnel can also show you a "squeeze" prior to a break-out forming, which is part of the reason I do no need Bollinger Bands up on my chart (in fact, John Bollinger himself once told me that the best use of his bands is in option spread pricing, not in fx trading).

Many people "over trade" in that as soon as they get out of a long, they look to go short, and vice-versa. The Tunnel of 5's forces you to wait, to see if the reversal is really in fact a reversal. Sort of acts as a buffer zone. And, by the time price works it's way across and comes out the other side of this tunnel, chances are if you compare with your longer timeframe (multiple timeframes, don't forget), that will give you permission to change directions as well. The two work together quite nicely. You will find many moves accelerating once price moves to the outside of the Tunnel of 5's - this is because most bank traders are watching these levels, and consider a move "confirmed" (and jump on board themselves) once they see this.

The other function of the Tunnel of 5's is to distinguish between the end of a move and normal market "breathing". So if you're already in a trade, and price starts moving against you, the Tunnel of 5's can either give you the confidence to stay in longer (as long as candle bodies continue closing back outside of it), or tells you to perhaps consider abandoning your position early, ahead of target (if the Tunnel of 5's is breached with a candle body close).

Comments (11)

A simple concept I'm sure, but an example in picture form would be great for us novices.
Yes, an example would be helpful. The idea seems nice.
I'll do one better... how about some videos which show you how to use these: http://www.forexpros.com/live-events/transcripts/sharpening-your-edge-series:-the-moving-averages-18242
I see the Video and Thank you soo much Black Nigh
Awesome, thanks for the vid!
Are there any currency pairs you focus on for this strategy or any characteristics in the currencies?
In my experience it works for all currency pairs, and on most timeframes (though the lower you go, the more potential noise you expose yourself to). I even use it for trading things like Dow futures, crude oil, and gold. The reason for this is that it it is based on moving averages... so on a 1-minute chart your are averaging 5 minutes, on a 1-hour chart you're averaging 5 hours, and on a daily it uses 5 days.
A newbie, How to draw the envlope for the EMA 21. Itried the shift but it shifts right or left but not up and down shift. Thanks in advance Avnish
Shift is useful if you do not have a smoothed MA available on your platform and wish to substitute a pair exponential MAs (in this case, shift +1 to the right). Envelopes are a separate indicator in MT4.
BlackKnight, thank you for this technique. I have a quick question regarding the deviance adjustment of the 21 period envelopes. In your video, you advise to look for the latest extremes pricing and you used the upper envelope and recent highs. My question is, can you set the envelopes based on the lower envelope and recents lows or market dips?
Yes you can, but I wouldn't put it right ON the lows or the highs, let the extremes poke a bit beyond the envelope. But you've got the right idea... it is very much a visual thing, and if you identify where the extremes and reversals are on the left of your chart, then you will have advance warning when approaching extreme levels again on the right edge of the chart (where the decisions have to be made).

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