Cowabunga System Daily Update: 03/21/07
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Main Trend
Current Trend= The trend remained up the entire day.
Today I only looked for long trades.
Today's Surf
11:15 am ET - There was a moving average crossover for a long trade. RSI was greater than 50, stochastics were trending up, and MACD was negative and gaining value. This was a valid entry. The entry was at the close of the candle which was at 9589 with a stop at the most recent swing low which was 9568. Since I was only 11 pips away from the nearest 00 level I decided to go for the same amount of pips I was risking, which in this case was 21. This put my target at 9610.
2:00 pm ET - My target is not hit and I know that the interest rate statement is about to come out so I decide to cut my losses and exit my trade. I exited at 9583.
Trade Result: -6 pips; R-Multiple= -0.28
Even though this trade would've worked into my favor if I had held onto it, the big news events such as can go either way and it basically becomes a coin flip. Now keep in mind, the risk was relatively small on this one. It was only 21 pips. So I can understand if you decided just to hold onto this and just hope for the best. For learning purposes however, I will strictly stick to my rules and since I said I would always exit before interest rate statements and NFP reports, I held true to my words and got out of the trade :) Thankfully it was only a small loss.
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Pinetree- My MACD settings are exactly the same as BPs. There were people saying they had discrepancies and I figured out why. See the FAQ page and you might have your answer.
Makiaveli- Seeing as this isn't the only system I trade, I don't really worry about missing a signal. However, if you are late and can get in at a better price then I don't see why you shouldn't enter. For example if you missed a long signal, if the price retraces back you can enter at a better price because your risk will be smaller and your profit will be greater. On the flipside if you missed a long signal and the price has already moved up, you shouldn't enter because your risk is greater and your reward is smaller. Hope that helps.