About Pick of the Day

Pick of the Day Author

At the end of each trading day, I will find what I believe is the best looking short term trade setup for the upcoming trading day. If you're a forex newbie, it can be tricky in the beginning trying to figure out how to look at charts and draw lines. My goal is help you understand the psychology of price movements so you can learn to analyze your own charts and trade on your very own. Trades will be posted by 1 am ET, Monday through Thursday evening.

Read First: Trade Rules!!

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March 2008

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Pick of the Day: USD/JPY - Close Open Orders

Close Open Orders: 2008-03-14 14:06

It seems we missed the boat on today's USD/JPY continued sell off as the pair reached a high around 101.15 before sellers took control in the morning US session.

We saw a bit of risk aversion in US equities and carry trades on the Bear Stern bail out news.

So no trade, and with the pair currently trading below 100.00, we will close open orders and start our weekend early! Have a good one!

Trade Idea: 2008-03-13 20:31

PoD Chart

Today, we saw the Greenback fall further against the Japanese Yen to levels it hasn't seen in a few years. Will we see the US Dollar slide further or will 100.00 hold?

The trend is definitely to the downside as the pair has fallen over 1000 pips over the last couple of months. Fundamentally, we are not going to see relief in the credit markets anytime soon it seems, even after the Fed's relief plans proposed this week. So, risk aversion is still in play and with speculation the Fed will continue to cut interest rates even further, shorting the US Dollar still looks tempting, especially on minor rallies.

The pair touched 100.00, held, and rallied. Kinda expected given its psychological significance. This may be our opportunity to short at a better price and hopefully ride this pair down if it does breakout lower. If we see USD/JPY rally to the Fib levels drawn on the chart, I am going to short.

Short USD/JPY at 101.20, stop at 102.20, pt1 at 100.20, pt2 at 99.20

Remember to never risk more than 1% of you account on any single trade. Adjust position sizes accordingly.

We have US event risk tomorrow with CPI and consumer sentiment. Please be cautious of volatility during this time.

Stay tuned, good luck and good trading!

Comments (2)

Nice trade..... If you had a limit order I hope you got filled. Looks like you hit the entry perfectly..
agreed, great trade, nice triggers, now that we hit targets down, hit them on the way up 2. that'is my plan. THANKS pipcrawler.cheers to a great weekend.

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