Watching USD/JPY for a Post FOMC Play

What’s up forex fiends! I thought I’d quickly share a setup I’m closely watching in reaction to the FOMC decision this week.

Before you move on, for those who are not familiar with my framework, signals, setups, or acronyms, please visit my discretionary trading framework blog.

USD/JPY Daily forex chart

USD/JPY Daily forex chart

I’m a big fan of going long USD/JPY because of the big divergence between the Bank of Japan’s and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policies.  Basically, the Federal Reserve has started to reduce their quantitative easing measures while the BOJ has theirs still kicking in high gear!

But before I jump in though, we do have the FOMC monetary policy decision this week, in which my brotha Forex Gump wrote a quick Q&A guide for the event.  He pointed out quite a few possible reaction and anticipation scenarios for this Wednesday, and with volatility as crazy as it has been in the past week, I think I’ll sit out to wait and see what the Fed does.

Regardless of whether or not we do get a Taper from the Fed, and depending on the reaction, I’m still gonna try to get in long for a longer-term position.  I’d like to see a nice pull back to the Fib levels (100.00 – 102.00) on the daily chart above, but I’m open to a breakout play to the upside as well.

It’s big Ben Bernanke’s last meeting as Fed Chairman, so whatever they decide to do, it should be one heck of an event for the markets.  Stay tuned and stay frost my friends!

  • Pingback: Trade: USD/JPY Resistance at 103.00? | Forex Blog: The Loonie Adventures of a Forex Noob

  • http://www.fxopen.com/ Aaron Stollman

    In my openion dips below 100.00 are very likely if turmoil in emerging currencies accelerate and Nikkei keeps plunging. US slower than expected growth in fourth quarter may further aggravate the situation, lets see.. btw your analysis is very good, I appreciate

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