About Currency Currents

With Currency Currents, you can stay tuned-in to our current global-macro view and our analysis of key investment themes driving currency prices.

We consistently focus on the key asset classes responsible for the flow of global capital -- including equities, fixed income, commodities and, of course, currencies.

Nothing is off limits to us in this free-wheeling look at the markets. Some days you’ll receive ramblings on trading psychology, while other days we may take an academic approach in explaining esoteric economic issues. Ultimately we have one goal in mind: to help you get a handle on the key investment themes driving global capital flow. Because if you know where the money is going, it increases the probability that your position in the market will be a profitable one.

Who is Jack the Pipper?

Currency Currents Author

Jack Crooks is Black Swan Capital LLC, President and Chief Trading Officer.

Jack is founder and president of Black Swan Capital LLC. He has also operated a discretionary money management firm specializing in global stock, bond, and currency asset management for retail clients.  In addition, he was general partner in a firm specializing in currency futures and commodities trading. Neither firm is now in operation.

Prior to entering the investment arena, Jack worked in various corporate finance positions. He has written extensively on the subject of global currencies and international economics.

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July 2009

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Lot of "key days" yesterday or just more head fakes?

Key News

Key Reports Due (WSJ):
7:00 a.m. Jun 26 Mortgage Refinance Application Survey: Previous: +5.9%.
8:15 a.m. Jun ADP National Employment Report: Expected: -400K. Previous: -532K.
10:00 a.m. Jun ISM Mfg Index: Expected: 45. Previous: 42.8.
10:00 a.m. June Construction Spending: Expected: -1.0%. Previous: +0.8%.
10:00 a.m. May Pending Home Sales: Expected: -0.5%. Previous: +6.7%.
10:30 a.m. Jun 26 U.S. Energy Dept Oil Inventories

Quotable

“The real voyage of discovery consists not in seeking new landscapes but in having new eyes.”

                             Marcel Proust

FX Trading - Lot of "key days" yesterday or just more head fakes?
A key day reversal is defined by Stockcharts.com as “a one day chart pattern where prices sharply reverse during a trend. In an uptrend, prices open in new highs and then close below the previous day's closing price. In a downtrend, prices open lower and then close higher. The wider the price range on the key reversal day and the heavier the volume, the greater the odds that a reversal is taking place.”

Crude Oil:

British pound:

New Zealand Dollar:

Australian dollar Daily:

S&P 500 Index Futures Daily:

Gold (not quite applicable but…):

Emerging Stock Index:

Dow Jones Industrial Average:

Nothing startling here, granted; just something to be aware of if you hadn’t noticed.

Today we get ADP Employment Report.  It has been a market mover of late.

Comments (2)

Hi Jack: Interesting questions yesterday and today ( key reversal/or headfake (today) & yesterday's GDP triangle continuation/or fundamentals? Monthly chart (GDP/US)June candle is spinning top with equal wicks.$ reached 38% fib (Nov 07 - Jan 09). On the weekly chart:might be possible negative STO divergence. $ neared 50% fib ( Jul 18-Jan 23) as well as 62% fib ( Sept26 - Jan 23).It appears there might be movement away from the ranging pattern.Just tell me where to go ( bullish or bearish).
Sorry Jack: should have been GBP/US ( would like to have said that the "B" key on the keyboard malfunctions ( but then I would have 32% fid) so I own up to my lack of proofreading.
"Do what you can, with what you have, where you are!"
Theodore Roosevelt
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