About Currency Currents

With Currency Currents, you can stay tuned-in to our current global-macro view and our analysis of key investment themes driving currency prices.

We consistently focus on the key asset classes responsible for the flow of global capital -- including equities, fixed income, commodities and, of course, currencies.

Nothing is off limits to us in this free-wheeling look at the markets. Some days you’ll receive ramblings on trading psychology, while other days we may take an academic approach in explaining esoteric economic issues. Ultimately we have one goal in mind: to help you get a handle on the key investment themes driving global capital flow. Because if you know where the money is going, it increases the probability that your position in the market will be a profitable one.

Who is Jack the Pipper?

Currency Currents Author

Jack Crooks is Black Swan Capital LLC, President and Chief Trading Officer.

Jack is founder and president of Black Swan Capital LLC. He has also operated a discretionary money management firm specializing in global stock, bond, and currency asset management for retail clients.  In addition, he was general partner in a firm specializing in currency futures and commodities trading. Neither firm is now in operation.

Prior to entering the investment arena, Jack worked in various corporate finance positions. He has written extensively on the subject of global currencies and international economics.

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April 2012

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It is passed time for a MAJOR disappointment!

"I guess I should warn you, if I turn out to be particularly clear, you've probably misunderstood what I've said."

- Alan Greenspan

Are there no limits whatsoever to monetary policy?  It is beyond pathetic that a rising stock market seems the only substitute for real policy from our "best and brightest."  Why doesn't it matter to them that it isn't working?  Are they that intellectually bankrupt and corrupt?  Is it odd that very smart people outside the government continue to bet on QE 3,4,5,6...?  Or is it the only bet?  What in the world is going on here?   

Orders for U.S. durable goods fell in March by the most in three years, indicating manufacturing will contribute less to growth this year.  

Bookings for goods meant to last at least three years dropped 4.2 percent, the biggest decrease since January 2009, after a revised 1.9 percent gain the prior month, data from the Commerce Department showed today in Washington. Economists forecast a 1.7 percent decline, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey.  

Now, would throwing more money into the banking system "help" this problem of slowing US growth momentum?     

We also learned this morning that the UK slipped into a double-dip recession.  And of course, the UK's primary export markets are heading into even deeper recession--it is called the Eurozone.   Not good.  Will more money help this situation?  

Isn't that right, Ben?                            

We were a bit surprised this past weekend to see the EU telling the IMF and others that they have "done enough."  A trillion euros dumped into the economy (skirting ECB rules to do QE in another form) and getting it past the German hard-money guys proves the ECB chief is indeed Super Mario.  But even super heroes need to rest sometime.  

We are expecting a major disappointment for the risk on crowd this afternoon when Ben speaks, and we're looking for a several hundred point haircut for the Dow today.    

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"Tough times never last but tough people do."
Robert Schuller
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