About Currency Currents

With Currency Currents, you can stay tuned-in to our current global-macro view and our analysis of key investment themes driving currency prices.

We consistently focus on the key asset classes responsible for the flow of global capital -- including equities, fixed income, commodities and, of course, currencies.

Nothing is off limits to us in this free-wheeling look at the markets. Some days you’ll receive ramblings on trading psychology, while other days we may take an academic approach in explaining esoteric economic issues. Ultimately we have one goal in mind: to help you get a handle on the key investment themes driving global capital flow. Because if you know where the money is going, it increases the probability that your position in the market will be a profitable one.

Who is Jack the Pipper?

Currency Currents Author

Jack Crooks is Black Swan Capital LLC, President and Chief Trading Officer.

Jack is founder and president of Black Swan Capital LLC. He has also operated a discretionary money management firm specializing in global stock, bond, and currency asset management for retail clients.  In addition, he was general partner in a firm specializing in currency futures and commodities trading. Neither firm is now in operation.

Prior to entering the investment arena, Jack worked in various corporate finance positions. He has written extensively on the subject of global currencies and international economics.

Latest Posts

April 2009

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Hodgepodge

Key News

  • Jean-Claude Trichet is facing the biggest split on the European Central Bank's Governing Council in his six years as president. (Bloomberg)
  • The Swiss central bank will intervene vigorously in foreign exchange markets if need be, Swiss National Bank President Jean-Pierre Roth said Friday.    "I can't comment [on] how much money we have spent on foreign exchange market interventions so far, but what I can say is that each time we announce something of this scale, we take vigorous action.   "We have intervened decisively and we will intervene decisively," Roth told a general meeting of SNB shareholders in Berne. (DJ Newswire)
  • New Zealand's inflation rate continued to ease in the first quarter, official figures showed Friday, setting the scene for the central bank to cut interest rates again to help an economy mired in recession. (AP)
  • Japan's economy will continue to worsen as consumption weakens and companies slash capital spending, the governor of the Bank of Japan said. (Reuters)

Key Reports (WSJ):
10:00 a.m. Mid-Apr Reuters/U Mich Sentiment Index: Expected: 57.5. Previous: 56.6.

Quotable

"Your highness, when I said that you are like a stream of bat's piss, I only mean that you shine out like a shaft of gold when all around it is dark."

                              Monty Python

FX Trading - Hodgepodge
CB's whacking Their Currencies Today

The two key central banks in Europe decided to knock their currencies down a few pegs this morning...

Swiss did it explicitly with comments from Swiss central bank Chief Jean-Pierre Roth saying the bank is all in selling Swissie:

The European Central Bank did the deed implicitly through internal squabbling over whether or not to follow in the footsteps of their pen pal across the pond--the Fed--and get involved in quantitative easing in a big way (what quantity to buy and who best deserves the easing is still not clear and likely the root of the bickering).  The Germans don't like the idea much, as they know their taxpayers will be paying for most of it, but other Eurozone members lusting for liquidity love the idea.  

Copper, Precious Copper

A reader (think you G.P.) sent us this extremely interesting story from the UK Telegraph, "A 'Copper Standard' for the world's currency system?," by Mr. Evans-Pritchard, a man who has never been shy with his headlines.  In his piece, Mr. Evans-Pritchard quotes Nobu Su, head of Taiwan's TMT group:

"'China has woken up. The West is a black hole with all this money being printed. The Chinese are buying raw materials because it is a much better way to use their $1.9 trillion of reserves. They get ten times the impact, and can cover their infrastructure for 50 years.'

"'The next industrial revolution is going to be led by hybrid cars, and that needs copper. You can see the subtle way that China is moving into 30 or 40 countries with resources,' he said."

"John Reade, metals chief at UBS, said Beijing may have a made strategic decision to stockpile metal as an alternative to foreign bonds. 'We're very surprised by Chinese demand. They are buying much more copper than they will need this year. If this is strategic, there may be no effective limit on the purchases as China's pockets are deep.'"

Hmmm.....commodities bulls rejoice!  This story makes a lot of sense...but, over the near-term buying copper isn't likely to spur consumer demand, which is what China needs if Mr. US Consumer continues to hide in his cocoon. 

Interested in specific trading recommendations and more currency research?  You can find that in our subscription-based newsletter--Currency StrategistClick here to find out the details or sample our service for two weeks for free.

NLWFAC

What the heck has happened to Newsletter Writers Favorite Asset Class (NLWFAC)?  John Ross and I coined that acronym for gold while toiling at the charts yesterday afternoon.  We thought it so apropos. 

All those guys (except NLWFAC agnostics like us of course) seem perpetually in love with gold.  Same reasons--dollar is dirt, US will explode, world monetary system to collapse, new global currency standard with gold backing on the way, central bank manipulation (when gold is going down, but no manipulation talk when gold is going up), major short positions, huge bullion demand, Indians heading to jewelry stores once monsoon is over, China will start buying, runaway inflation, Russia to start a futures market, it's an aphrodisiac, my father-in law hides it in his walls, and JR tells me it goes well on corn flakes...

Now, remember all you NLWFAC lovers, don't hate! 

Comments (1)

Spot on once again! Gold has been a lousy investment over the lst 2o years. It's been used to help sell wildly overpriced newsletters written by third-rate journalists. Sadly, I don't see this charade ending anytime soon.
"The person who says it cannot be done should not interrupt the person who is doing it."
Chinese Proverb
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