With Currency Currents, you can stay tuned-in to our current global-macro view and our analysis of key investment themes driving currency prices.
We consistently focus on the key asset classes responsible for the flow of global capital -- including equities, fixed income, commodities and, of course, currencies.
Nothing is off limits to us in this free-wheeling look at the markets. Some days you’ll receive ramblings on trading psychology, while other days we may take an academic approach in explaining esoteric economic issues. Ultimately we have one goal in mind: to help you get a handle on the key investment themes driving global capital flow. Because if you know where the money is going, it increases the probability that your position in the market will be a profitable one.
Jack Crooks is Black Swan Capital LLC, President and Chief Trading Officer.
Jack is founder and president of Black Swan Capital LLC. He has also operated a discretionary money management firm specializing in global stock, bond, and currency asset management for retail clients. In addition, he was general partner in a firm specializing in currency futures and commodities trading. Neither firm is now in operation.
Prior to entering the investment arena, Jack worked in various corporate finance positions. He has written extensively on the subject of global currencies and international economics.
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Really, that's what this Eurozone fiasco has morphed into - quiet desperation. Officials -- whether those heading up Eurozone member countries, the IMF, the EU or the ECB -- are all holding their breath and hoping that something they do, some of their economy-restoring and debt-reducing strategies, actually sticks.… More…
Put the news about the European Central Bank choosing not to extend certain QE measures next to the Federal Reserve discussing new potential QE measures and you've got the big reason, right there in front of you, why the euro is gaining ground so quickly on the dollar.… More…
The pace of growth in the euro zone's services and manufacturing sectors slowed much more than expected this month, but surveys published on Thursday showed businesses were more optimistic.… More…
There is no mistaking the role the Australian dollar plays in currency speculation. It is easily THE risk currency. It's got growth (particularly the tight connection to China and the rest of Asia) and interest rates on its side. So when speculators are looking to capitalize on risk appetite, or when investors are looking for an extra yield boost, they look towards the Australian dollar.… More…
Yesterday was a weird day. I say that because the correlations seemed all screwed up. Bonds were weak, commodities were basically flat to mixed (except for the precious kind), US stocks flattish, and yet the currencies were signaling risk appetite is back; well, except for the yen which strengthened big time yesterday (before intervention this morning).… More…
We said what is interesting about this chart is the fact gold and the US dollar have moved in a positive correlation lately. We've highlighted the area on the chart roughly where you can see the two price series started moving together. This isn't usually the case as you well know.… More…
As we finished up last week with US Nonfarm Payrolls, we were left with a taste of risk-taking. US stocks breached resistance and the dollar flopped, barely holding on above support.… More…
A member of the Crooks family was recently talking about roulette, specifically how he thought that there must be a strategy that can put the odds of winning in your favor. Perhaps there is, but he wasn't able to vocalize it and we weren't buying it. Flipping a coin came to mind.… More…
After yesterday's risk-taking rocket ride the obvious reaction is to sit and watch for a reaction. Will traders take the opportunity to sell after yesterday's strength? And if so is it profit-taking or simply an opportunity to get short?… More…
We've been strident about the idea that global growth decoupling from the US is a myth. The idea being the US consumer is still the primary demand engine for the world, and Mr. US Consumer becomes all the more important as European demand heads into its austerity shell. But today's news has us wondering a bit about our stridency.… More…
