About Art of the Chart

Art of the Chart Author I'll be scouring the charts for "actionable masterpieces". These will be signficant chart patterns or set-ups that I feel are not only tradeable, but also have a high probability of making big profits with little risk. Whenever I spot an "actionable masterpiece", I will post an annotated chart (my chart art) along with an explanation. My goal is to help you learn how to spot these low ocurring but highly profitable "actionable masterpieces" yourself.

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April 2008

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Sell EUR/USD

Traders seems to be increasingly hesitant buying the pair at current levels, especially with Euro-zone economic data likely to worsen. The main reason price remains near all-time highs is because the ECB continues to maintain a tough stance on interest rates in the short term to control inflationary pressure. But just how long will this last if economic data being released gets suckier and suckier?

If the ECB do stick to their guns with maintaining interest rates, then the dollar will continue to remain weak, since the Fed continues to lower interest rates. I'm not so sure how long the ECB can hold out though.

Either way, I think there's little value selling the dollar at these levels and look to get in early to catch a big price reversal.

Technically, price has been trading sideways for almost two weeks now. There is bearish divergence as the oscillator seems to be weakening.

EUR/USD, Daily

I'm going to sell now at 1.5820. My stop loss (SL) will be 1.5920. Above the most recent hights. My profit target (PT) will be 1.5370. I will post any trade adjustments in my comment section below.

Sell EUR/USD @ 1.5820 | SL: 1.5920 | PT: 1.5370

Comments (11)

Looks like this one worked out well for you.
correct me if i am wrong but you got stopped out on this trade didnt you? do you still think that it will drop to 1.54 range or lower??
You said sell eur/usd, and buy usd/jpy... Your last 5 advices were stopped out. Why do you want to trade against the trend?
Selling the EUR/USD was a good idea, look what just happened over the last two days.
Yes, but all the positions of forex ninja was stopped out, and I just pointed that he shoud not give advices to anyone...
well of course you should not follow any advice to trade against a trend until you see the trend breaking through its support levels. He was early on his call to sell but it was his timing not reasoning that was off.
Trading against a trend might not seem advisable, but words like "never" and "always" are a dangerous part of a trader's vocabulary. From a technical standpoint, i consider this trade a good idea. I know it's easy to say that now knowing what the pair has done but look at it objectively for a minute. Yes, the trend is up, but the pair was very clearly stalling and tried several times to break through a major price point of resistance and could not. In addition, there was divergence. If there was any time to trade against a trend it would be on this idea. The combination of major levels of support/resistance and divergence is a very powerful tool. Spitting bull, don't knock something you don't fully understand yourself
The 5 latest posts of Forex Ninja was about trading against the trend. Sometimes I consider trading against the trend too, but not all the time. It can work, it can be a strategy, but it is dangerous, and I think it only can be used with very strict rules. I think the trend gives the odds of winning. I just pointed, that someone, who gave two sell signals, and no buy ones on a approximately 1500 pip uptrend, should not be posting advices on a frequented website.
simply don't make trades based on advice from this blog if you have noticed that you disagree with the poster move on.
Sitting Bull, Like russkun said, if you don't like it move on. But please stop ranting that people should not take advice from this blog. The contributors are giving their advice freely and part of the education they provide in the school is that traders need to educate themselves and not take advice blindly. As part of any aspiring trader's education, they must come to the realization that blindly taking trading ideas without testing those ideas out first for themselves is not a recommended practice. So, if you disagree with this blog, don't pay attention to it. For those who see merit in the signals, they should set out to backtest them themselves before jumping in. Simple.
Ok:)

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